Monday, June 24, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Warragul


The Game Plan for Warragul – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
There’s no getting around the fact that Warragul is a dead-set leaders track so rather than trying to find the BEST horse in every race, the challenge is to find the BEST PLACED horse from the draw. It’s a difficult meeting but there are two horses I expect to find the front and stay there at short odds plus a Best Value bet, a Best Roughie, one Money Race and a Quaddie I’m hoping will help us kick the week off w/ a bang!

Best Bets/ All-Up
Franco Seelster (Race 3 no. 4) $2.20
This guy wasn’t at his best last time out but if he can work past fellow fast starter Ocean Bay (2) in the early stages here he should lead all the way.

Mumma Mia Lombo (Race 4 no. 2) $1.90
This girl has a lot going for her today; at the top of the list is the fact that she’s the best horse in the race but when you add the fact that she’s first-up for top trainer Andy Gath, she’s trialled very promisingly at Tabcorp Park in recent times and she’s a better than 60% chance of finding the front then she looks a very solid bet at almost flip-of-the-coin odds.

Best Value
Peace Of Magic (Race 5 no. 1) $7
This is an even race but if the above pacer can hold the lead as expected here he’ll be very hard to run down over the 1785m trip.

Best Roughie
Blissfull Spanker (Race 7 no. 1) $12
I’ve got little doubt that this bloke isn’t the best horse in the race but w/ the established philosophy of the day leaning to those who will lead or race handy on the rail I’m happy to have something small the win and a fair bit the place on this guy because he’ll be leader or behind leader and suited by the tight-turning track.

The Money Race – Race 4
We’ve already mentioned above that Mumma Mia Lombo (2) should lead & win and if that scenario plays out then Now And Forever (1) should be on her back and run a drum as a result. Base two Trifectas around that notion & you’ll know your fate pretty soon after the start.

2/ 1/ 3,6,8,9. $40 gets 1000%
2/ 3,6,8,9/ 1. $10 gets 250%

Quaddie
2/ 1,2,4,6,7,8/ 2,4/ 1,3,4,5,7,8,9. $100 gets 138.89%

Star Trialler (Racing Today)
Mumma Mia Lombo (Race 4 no. 2) $1.90
We’ve already well & truly covered why this mare should be winning first-up today but one of the reasons I’m so keen is the fact she ripped home in 57.68secs to win a Tabcorp Park trial 13 days back before finishing fourth in a strong hit-out at the same track six days later. There’s plenty of pressure on her today but I’m confident she’d up to it.

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