Thursday, June 20, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Charlton

THE GAME PLAN for Charlton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

This looks a competitive little meeting with no real standout bets but I’ve come up with a Best Value Bet, a couple of Money Races and a four-pronged attack on the Quaddie as the best way to get an earn out of the program.

BEST VALUE BET

Another Ayjay (Race 4 no. 5) $5          $15 win x $35 place
This guy was in very good form late last year prior to going for a break and he is sure to improve on what he did in a heat of this final on this circuit first up where he ran home well out wide behind Damascus Road.  The return to the front row will suit him down to the ground as he is lightning off the arm and whether Haydon Gray goes for an all-the-way victory on him or elects to take a trail I think he has a terrific each way chance.  

THE MONEY RACES

Race 7
The Good Times is definitely the one to beat here as she should get an easy lead but I do give Lombo Cloud Nine a chance of knocking her off so I’m going to take a few Trifectas based around that pair.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

5/ 8/ 1,9,11,12.  $24 gets you 600%
5/ 1,9,11,12/ 8.  $16 gets you 400%
8/ 5/ 1,9,11,12.  $10 gets you 250%

Race 8
This race has been knocked around a little by the scratchings but it still looks a great race to get involved in as Sukovia and Stonethachristian look much better than their rivals and are a great base for some Trifectas.   Below is how I’m spending $50.

3,9/ 3,9/ 4,6,8,10,11.  $35 gets you 350%
3,9/ 4,6,8,10,11/ 3,9.  $15 gets you 150%

QUADDIES x 4 $100 total outlay
5,7,10,11,12/ 2,5,6,9/ 5/ 5.  $25 gets you 125%
5,7,10,11,12/ 2,5,6,9/ 5/ 8.  $15 gets you 75%
5,7,10,11,12/ 2,5,6,9/ 4,6,7,10/ 5.  $40 gets you 50%
5,7,10,11,12/ 2,5,6,9/ 4,6,7,10/ 8.  $20 gets you 25%

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