Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

I can’t really find a best bet on tonight’s program or any horses to back at some value but I am confident of getting some cash via a couple of Money Races and a crack at the Quaddie four different ways.   

THE MONEY RACES

Race 4                      

Luke Hobbs and Cool Machrista look to have a class edge on their rivals and it would shock to see one of them miss the top three spots so I’m going to use them as a base in a couple of Trifectas.  Below is how I’m spending $100.

4,5/ 4,5/ 1,2,3,7.  $60 gets you 750%

4,5/ 1,2,3,7/ 4,5.  $40 gets you 500%

Race 7

Fantastic Arden is the one to beat here as she should spear straight to the lead with Riviera Kiss and The Rogue Trader her only dangers and I think that trio look a great base for some First Fours.  Below is how I’m spending $100.

6/ 1,10/ 1,10/ Field.  $42 gets you 300%

6/ 1,10/ Field/ 1,10.  $28 gets you 200%

1,10/ 6/ 1,10/ Field.  $21 gets you 150%

1,10/ 6/ Field/ 1,10.  $9 gets you 64.28%

QUADDIES X 4 $100 total spend

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,12/ 11/ 6.  $40 gets you 400%

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,12/ 11/ 1,10.  $20 gets you 100%

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,12/ 6,8/ 6.  $20 gets you 100%

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,12/ 6,8/ 1,10.  $20 gets you 50%

The Game Plan for Kilmore – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

There are no living certainties on tonight’s eight-race programme but there is some value to be found & if we target that value plus a couple of Money Races and, of course, the Quad, it does look a card that can be exploited for sure.

Best Value
Tiavons Dream (Race 2 no. 2) $6
He is a beautifully bred juvenile trotter who was huge on debut behind Four Lillies 19 days back and looks capable of being one of Victoria’s best young squaregaiters. Add to the mix the fact that hot favourite Miracle (10) has had a long season and draws poorly here and I’d much prefer to be supporting the new kid on the block.

Best Roughie

Ivantowin (Race 5 no. 11) $12

I’m happy to admit this is a follow-up bet given I’m confident this bloke should have almost won a handy C1 final at Melton last time out. He doesn’t draw the best here but he’s actually racing in very good form and at double figure odds he’s worth an Each Way lash.

The Money Races

Race 4

This looks a great betting race because Luke Hobbs (4) & Cool Machrista (5) look the clear top tips and it’s hard to see one of them not winning and/or either missing a place. Take the below Trifectas and you should return a profit.

4,5/ 4,5/ 1,7. $28 gets 700%

4,5/ 4,5/ 2,3,6,8. $12 gets 150%

4,5/ 1,7/ 4,5. $10 gets 250%

Race 7

A bit like the above Money Race, this one also looks a two-horse race given Fantastic Arden (6) should find the front, Riviera Kiss (1) should hold her back and they should run one-two as a result. The Rogue Trader (10) is the other key runner and he can also feature heavily if things work out to plan.

1,6/ 1,6/ 10 $20 gets 1000%

1,6/ 1,6/ 3,4,7,8. $20 gets 500%

1,6/ 10/ 1,6. $10 gets 500%

Quaddies (x2)

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,11,12/ 11/ 1,6,10. $36 gets 100%

4,5/ 3,5,6,8,11,12/ 6,8,12/ 1,6,10. $14 gets 12.96%