Good Form Preview - Friday Afternoon at Mildura

THE GAME PLAN for Mildura – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

This looks a great punting card where I think there are a stack of good things so I’ve come up with four Best Bets, a Best Quinella, a Money Race and a crack at the Quaddie as the best way to attack the meeting.  If all goes to plan we should have a nice little bank for Melton tonight.  Here we go!

BEST BETS

Shes A Killer (Race 3 no. 1) $2.10                   $50 win

This mare comes off an impressive all-the-way success at Swan Hill last start where she showed good gate speed to lead and although she will find this harder with some pressure likely from Timeless Era I still think she will go wire-to-wire.

Amajorjo (Race 4 no. 4) $2.80                          $50 win

I know this guy has been disappointing of late and he has to overcome Johnny Quid but I’m tipping a vastly improved performance from him today on the back of a slashing trial hit out at Terang last Sunday where Matt Craven dropped the reins in the dustsheet and let him rip around Dalvui Raceway in blistering times.  It is time for him to stand up and I think he will.

Four Sisters (Race 6 no. 9) $2.50                     $50 win

Proven Group 1 winner who resumed from a break with a game second to Mammals Maker on this circuit 17 days back in a heat of the Vicbred Super Series and although she draws the back row over the 1780m she has lengths on these class wise and should be a shade too slick.

Goodtime Slater (Race 7 no. 1) $2.20                        $50 win

Smart 3YO in the Emma Steward barn who resumes from a brief spell without the benefit of a recent trial hit out but he has a touch of class about him and although there is some speed drawn to his outside he should do enough to keep the lead and from there I doubt they will run him down.

BEST QUINELLA

Race 5

Meet The Punisher (1) and Miss Ruthless (8)        x $50

This pair fought out the finish from the exact draws that they have today where Meet The Punisher led and Miss Ruthless trailed so with the high likelihood of them being in the same positions this time around they should run the Quinella once more.

THE MONEY RACE

Race 3

Shes A Killer has been in great form for Shayne Cramp and she looks set to continue on her winning way here with Timeless Era and Did It Alone likely to be in the breeze, behind leader respectively so I’m going to use them as a base for some First Fours.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

1/ 4,7/ 4,7/ 2,6.  $25 gets you 625%

1/ 4,7/ 2,6/ 4,7.  $15 gets you 375%

1/ 2,6/ 4,7/ 4,7.  $10 gets you 250%

QUADDIES X 2 $100 total spend

3,4/ 1,8/ 9/ 1.  $60 gets you 1500%

3,4/ 1,8/ 9/ 4,5.  $40 gets you 500%

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s not often that we have a Friday afternoon meeting @ Mildura these days but this one looks pretty handy from a betting point of view, with two Vicbred heats making up half the Quad and another couple of ideal punting affairs. I’m playing pretty conservatively given the focus on Melton tonight but I still think we can make some of the money back that’s gone west so far this week!

The Money Races

Race 3
This is a small field but with Shes A Killer (1) and Timeless Era (4) looking the only winning hopes I reckon we can structure one big First 4 here to get some folding for tonight’s ‘Fourtune’ promotion at Tabcorp Park.

1,4/ 1,4,7/ 1,4,6,7/ 1,2,4,6,7. $50 gets 312.5%

Race 5

It’s a little over a month since Meet The Punisher (1) & Miss Ruthless (8) drew 1 & 8, raced leader/behind leader & spaced their rivals over the final 400m. They also went one-two one run later and given they have drawn 1 & 8 once more and once again look a great chance of lobbing leader/behind leader, I’m happy to say they’ll run one-two or one-three at worst, so the below Trifectas should yield a profit.

1,8/ 1,8/ 2,3,4,5,6,9. $42 gets 350%

1/ 2,3,4,5,6,9/ 8. $8 gets 133.33%

Quaddies

3,4/ 1,8/ 6,9,10/ 1,4,5. $72 gets 200%
3,4/ 1,8/ 1,2,3,5,7/ 1,4,5. $28 gets 46.67%

STAR TRIALLER

Amajorjo (Race 4 no. 4) $2.80

As mentioned in the Best Bets this guy was let loose by Matt Craven last Sunday at Terang where he won a trial by 80m, ran a mile rate of 1:57.0 for the 2180m journey, went 1:55.0 his last mile, which is unheard of around there and ripped home in 56.3.  He didn’t beat anything of note but the times he ran are amazing and as good as Johnny Quid is he would want to be right on his game to keep this fellow at bay if he brings that kind of speed to the track tonight.