Monday, June 3, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Maryborough


The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
There’s no sugar coating it, this is a very tough meeting on which to make money, but I am gambling on two main ideal. One, that we’ve found some genuine value and if any of our four value/roughie tips win well end well in the black and two, that the Quaddie will pay big money and that by playing wide we’ll give ourselves a chance at a very decent collect.

Best Bet
Classy Guy (Race 2 no. 9) $1.90 ($40 Win)
As mentioned in today’s Herald sun form comment, this guy is a blistering beginner who would have been $1.20 here from a front line draw but I’m just hoping that the second-line alley means value for us punters. Put simply, his main rivals here in Aleppo Tiger (4) & Galeforce Grin (7) are pretty limited and with his natural speed he should be able to hunt them down from anywhere in transit.

Best Value
Gavlenn Sunset (Race 8 no. 8) $6 ($20 Each Way)
This guy showed plenty as a two-year-old and has been running on stoutly at his past couple of starts without quite breaking through. He is no moral but given I’m not completely sold on Aldebaran Sunstar (9) & in the hope we might get some value out of this guy I recommend you have an Each way lash and hope hope he gets some favours from the awkward draw.

Alta Antonio (Race 4 no. 6) $10 ($20 Each Way)
This bloke is both tough and genuine and while he did finish last when first-up for Andy Gath last start, he was only 8m from the winner and two horses who beat him there – Exciteusinthecity and Johnny Quid – were impressive winners on Friday night at Melton. I don’t think we’ll get the $10 quoted in today’s Herald Sun but even at $6 he’s worth an Each Way wager (7 horse field & all).

Best Roughies
Marios Dream (Race 6 no. 1) $31 & Waikare Sun (Race 6 no. 2) $26 ($5 by $15 on both)
These two are obviously in the same race today but importantly, they are both good beginners from the mobile start and will be in the firing line throughout. It’s a handy race but I can’t see any budding superstars drawn poorly and the even nature of the event should ensure that those up the front have a significant advantage over their rivals. Don’t break the bank but have something the win and triple the place on both of these and you just might get a very tidy collect.

Quaddies (x2)
1,5,6/ 4,5,6,8,9,10,11,12/ 1,2,4,6,9,11,12/ 7. $42 gets 25%
1,5,6/ 4,5,6,8,9,10,11,12/ 1,2,4,6,9,11,12/ 2,4,6,9. $58 gets 7.51%

 

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