Saturday, June 15, 2013

Good Form Preview - Saturday Night at Ballarat

THE GAME PLAN for Ballarat – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The early part of tonight’s meeting is littered with short-priced favourites where there is no value on offer and I can’t really find a race where I want to play some exotics so I’ve come up with a Best Value Bet,  Best Value Place Bet and a Quaddie as the best way to attack the program.  Good luck and good punting! 

BEST VALUE BET

Evil Trickster (Race 4 no. 6) $6             $15 win x $35 place
This bloke is a fast beginner as a rule and with a lack of any real pace to his inside (besides Kokoda Courage, who normally hands up in his races) the chances of him spearing to the lead and running a cheeky race are high so at what should be nice each way odds I’m going to have a little crack at him.

BEST VALUE PLACE BET

Wipem Dry (Race 7 no. 1) $4 (approx.)         $50 place
This fellow will be ready to produce his best tonight after two runs back from a break and I can see him gaining a soft trip behind likely leader Five Oclock Affair so he should get every chance to sneak into a place.  The last time he sat behind the lead in a race he finished second to speedy mare Majestic Reign in 1:55.5 at Shepparton.  That’s a good enough recommendation right there.

QUADDIES x 2 $100 total outlay
1,5,6,7,8,9/ 4,9/ 1,5,6,8/ 3,5,7,9.  $70 gets you 36.45%
1,5,6,7,8,9/ 8,11/ 1,5,6,8/ 3,5,7,9.  $30 gets you 15.62%

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