Thursday, November 15, 2012

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Lords

THE GAME PLAN for Bendigo – with Michael Polster 

Best Bet 

Ultimate Deal (Race 8 no. 4) $2.10 
Was no match for Catch Your Breath in the Claiming Masters Final at Melton two runs ago but he appreciated the class drop at Ararat last time out to win with a leg in the air from the front end. He won’t find this any harder, looks the leader once more and he will be winning again with a repeat of his latest performance.

Best Value Bet 

Flash Of Freedom (Race 5 no. 1) $7.50 

This guy will be better for his first up effort at Cobram 9 days ago when third to Our Maylan and he does look nicely suited here as he has a real liking for the standing start conditions. He will either lead or sit just behind the speed and looks a great gamble on an each way basis.

Key Driving Changes 
Jingling Silver (Race 6 no. 3) $12 and Rockin Wilma (Race 6 no. 6) $11 
Chris Alford and Brian Gath jump into the sulky on these handy mares and it wouldn’t surprise to see them run improved races tonight at juicy odds.

Best Trifectas (Race 7) 

My theory here is that Samantha Sparkle (2) $4 will lead early and then hand up to Cold Major (7) $3.50 and they look a great base for Trifectas. Here’s how I’m playing with $104 total spend.

2,7/ 2,7/ 3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11 for $40 which gets you 250%
2,7/ 3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11/ 2,7 for $40 which gets you 250%
8,10,11/ 2,7/ 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11 for $24 which gets you 50%
*taking the last one as a saver just in case things go awry.

Quaddies (x4) 

6,7,10/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,11/ 9,10/ 2,7,8,10,11. $30 gets you 14.28%
6,7,10/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,11/ 2,3,5,6,11/ 2,7,8,10,11. $40 gets you 7.61%
4,5,11/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,11/ 9,10/ 2,7,8,10,11. $12 gets you 5.71%
4,5,11/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,11/ 2,3,5,6,11/ 2,7,8,10,11. $18 gets you 3.42% 

STAR TRIALLER – (Racing Tonight) 

Grinnersawinner (Race 3 no. 5) 
Disappointed behind Keayang Falcon at Terang last time but he has since won a trial nicely on this circuit last Monday where he finished off in 57.8. He has been a little in and out this campaign but there is no doubting his talent and will be a major player tonight if he brings his A game to the track.


No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.