Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Good Form Preview - Nyah @ Swan Hill


THE GAME PLAN for Nyah @Swan Hill – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)
                         
The Money Race (Race 8)

Not the strongest race of the night but Star Of Paris, Leighmont and Abstraction look head and shoulders above their rivals and look a great base for exotics. Below is the Game Plan for the race with a $100 total spend.  We won’t be millionaires should these bets come off but a tidy profit to be made nonetheless.

Boxed Trifecta: 1,2,3 for $24 which gets you 400%
First Four: 1,2,3/ 1,2,3/ 1,2,3/ Field for $34 which gets you 141.66%
Trifecta: 1,2,3/ 1,2,3/ Field for $30 which gets you 100%
First Four: 1,2,3/ 1,2,3/ Field/ 1,2,3 for $12 which gets you 50%

Value Bets

McArdles Art (Race 5 no. 1) $6
Caught the eye at Mildura first up from a spell when he charged home out wide in a quick last quarter for fifth to Fairhurst and he will be better for the outing. He comes up with the ace alley tonight, will more than likely hold the lead and in a race of numerous chances he looks a great beat on a 1 x 3 basis.

Our Lilly Maloane (Race 5 no. 8) $10
Sat behind the leader at Mildura to win well five runs ago but she hasn’t had any luck at all since, finishing mid-field or worse at her next four outings. She looks a great chance of securing the gun run behind likely leader McArdles Art and at the odds that will be available she is worthy of a ticket each way.

Quaddies (x2)
7/ 1,4,7,8,9/ 1,2,8/ 4,5,10,11.  $52 gets you 86.66%
1,2,4,5/ 1,4,7,8,9/ 1,2,8/ 4,5,10,11.  $48 gets you 20%


BLACK BOOKER – (Racing Tonight)

Gangster Boy (Race 7 no. 11) $3.50
Comes off a crushing victory at Cobram 8 days ago where he did a stack of work to find the lead from his second row draw and just kept running to record 1:56.1 for the short course. He will have to earn it once more tonight from where he is drawn, plus he steps up in distance but he should take a power of beating with a repeat of his latest effort. Click here to view the run.

STAR TRIALLERS – (Racing Tonight)

Tapper Torney (Race 1 no. 5) $8
This guy has ordinary numbers next to his name but he did win a trial on this circuit last Wednesday night comfortably and looks a genuine improver. He gets the services of boom young driver Zac Philips who takes the claim and in a very weak race to start the night he has as good a chance as any.

Downtools (Race 2 no. 3) $5
Yet to place in 6 starts to date but he resumes tonight off the back of a trial placing at Bendigo just over two weeks ago and looks ready to run a race fresh. He isn’t opposed to any world beaters first up, draws well and looks a leading chance in a race lacking any real depth. 


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