Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Good Form Preview - Frank Ryan Raceway


THE GAME PLAN for Echuca – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Bet

Lookatme Philo (Race 5 no. 3) $2
Handy mare who has been trialling stylishly at Kyabram and Shepparton for her first up run tonight.
She has gate speed, looks like getting an easy lead and she should be too good for her rivals fresh.

Value Bets
Back these on a 1 x 3 basis.

You Bet John (Race 1 no. 7) $7
Had no luck at all last start at Swan Hill after being caught three-deep the trip and wasn’t disgraced behind Downtools. Should get the dream trail behind leader and favourite Star Of Paris and is in with a hope of knocking him off.

Soho Winslet (Race 2 no. 2) $6
Has been run down from the front end at her past couple but she drops in distance and will relish the 800m track. She should get the lead comfortably and with her main rivals drawing poorly she can give them something to chase.

Dabbsey (Race 3 no. 1) $7
Loves these conditions and did run a nice race behind tonight’s favourite Carnley at Kilmore last time when third. He has a 10m jump on that fellow and whether he holds the lead from the pole or sits off the pace he will run well.

Western Connection (Race 4 no. 7) $3
Hit the line nicely behind Flash Of Freedom at Bendigo last start after missing away and having a chequered passage. Think we’ll get better than the $3 I’ve marked her and she has a terrific chance with the cold sit on Wunlastchance.

Roughies
Don’t go crazy with these two but think they will both run cheeky races at odds for trainer Pauline Brodie.

Inthedarkofnite (Race 6 no. 1) $21
Was winding up late when fourth to My Mums A Star at Gunbower last time and can be dangerous if she can hold a forward spot from the pole.

Kanaburi (Race 6 no. 2) $15
Finished a luckless sixth to My Mums A Star in that same Gunbower contest mentioned above and with Chris Alford to drive she isn’t the worst.

Quaddies (x8)
1,2,3,6,7/ 3/ 9,10/ 1.  $15 gets you 150%
1,2,3,6,7/ 3/ 9,10/ 2,7,10,11.  $20 gets you 50%
1,2,3,6,7/ 3/ 1,2,3,4/ 1.  $5 gets you 25%
1,2,3,6,7/ 3/ 1,2,3,4/ 2,7,10,11.  $10 gets you 12.50%
1,2,3,6,7/ 1,4,7,8/ 9,10/ 1.  $15 gets you 37.5%
1,2,3,6,7/ 1,4,7,8/ 9,10/ 2,7,10,11.  $20 gets you 12.50%
1,2,3,6,7/ 1,4,7,8/ 1,2,3,4/ 1.  $5 gets you 6.25%
1,2,3,6,7/ 1,4,7,8/ 1,2,3,4/ 2,7,10,11.  $10 gets you 3.12%

STAR TRIALLERS

Lookatme Philo (Race 5 no. 3) $2
Talented mare resuming from a break and she should be raring to go after winning three trials the past month; twice at Kyabram and at Shepparton last Thursday. She comes up with the ideal draw first up, should make her way to the lead and if given a decent trip by Nathan Jack she should be too good for her rivals. Click here to view her Shepparton trial.

Fergus Mactavish (Race 8 no. 3) $4
Resumes from a spell tonight off the back of an easy Cobram trial success 9 days ago where he only rated 2:05.4 but did win by a big space. He will more than likely need this hit out, as he hasn’t started since May 2011, but he strikes a weak race first up and should be dangerous.


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