Monday, November 26, 2012

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Horsham


The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

First In Best Dressed
Quite often with these weekday meetings it’s the second half of the programme which we tend to target but today it’s all about the first three races and a solid crack at the Quad. Below I will outline mini Game Plans for the first three events.

Race 1
Put simply Earl Harbour (7) & Earl Of Charity (10) are travelling much better than their rivals so while it’s always risky playing tight multiples in squaregaiting events, this might be an OK race to do just that. I’m carving this race up as outlined below.

Win
Earl Harbour ($1.90) for $50

Quinella
Earl Harbour & Earl Of Charity for $50

Race 2
The two key runners here are Hector Barbossa (6) & Alta Antonio (8). Hector Barbossa (6) is an SA pacer who was awesome from the death last time & can either lead or sit parked here & still win while Alta Antonio (8) is a talented ex-Kiwi who destroyed easier rivals first up in Oz. Hector Barbossa (6) has the edge at the draw so playing these ways.

Win
Hector Barbossa ($2) for $50

Trifectas
6/ 8/ 2,3,7,9. $28 gets 700%.
8/ 6/ 2,3,7,9. $12 gets 300%.
6/ 2,3,/ 8. $10 gets 500%.

Race 3
The scratching of Soho Eastwood has made it more likely that Four Sisters (1) & Goodtime Veejay (5) will finish one-two here with the only danger being that Four Sisters (1) gets crossed by something else at the start. I tend to think that Goodtime Veejay (5) will be much too good but he is on debut so we play a little safer in this race. I’m betting like this.

Trifectas
5/ 1/ 3,4,6,10,11,12. $36 gets 600%.
5/ 3,4,6,10,11,12/ 1. $14 gets 233.33%.

Quaddies
3,4,5,6,10/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 6,8. $70 gets 50%.
3,4,5,6,10/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 2,4,9,12. $30 gets 10.71%.

Star Trialler – (Racing Tonight)

Goodtime Veejay (Race 2 no. 5) ($1.90)
He is the latest debutante from the all-powerful Emma Stewart team who cruised home in a Ballart trial on November 4 then went even better when second to the very talented sapphire Swayze in a Geelong qualifier on November 12.  They ran slow time but zipped home in 57.6 in that latest outing and this guy wouldn’t have to go much better than he did there to kick his career off with success today.

Black Booker – (Racing Tonight)

Zurbaran (Race 7 no. 6) ($4.20)
This guy has been a Good Form Black Booker after two of his past three starts. Three runs back he charged home off slow numbers to nearly nail Franco Templar at Geelong then he threw in an ordinary run before charging late once more behind Algeepee at Melton. The draw should ensure he gets well out of his ground yet again but he’s flying right now and with a genuine tempo he’ll be swamping his rivals late. Click here to see his most recent run. 

Black Bookers – (Bendigo last night)

Yankee Avenue
It was an arrogant performance from Russ Thomson’s renowned rogue to miss the start then circle the field, take up the running and win untouched against a handy field yesterday afternoon. His manners are always a concern and he did get things his own way after finding the front but eh win was still big and he can win much better races. Click here to see the run.

Chevaux Rainbow
This mare has always shown her fair share of potential and her effort first up yesterday when held up until after acceptances but still good enough to charge home into second was very encouraging indeed. She should also benefit from the run so keep an eye on her wherever she lines up next. Click here to view the run.

Robbie Zuve
This guy is small in stature but big on heart, as evidenced by his terrific effort last night at Lords Raceway. Strung up at the back of the field and having to swing around galloping horses late he made up 20m-plus in a 29.7-second final quarter to complete his second top display in succession this campaign. He is itching to win and will do so soon. Click here to view the run.


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