Sunday, November 18, 2012

Good Form Preview - Gunbower Cup Day

The Game Plan for Gunbower – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Bets

Veranjee (Race 7 no. 9) $2.60 TAB Fixed Odds. Click here to bet on this horse now.
Comes off a devastating Yarra Valley success 12 days ago and was terrific in defeat behind Chancellor Cullen at Melton prior so it’s fair to say he is in career-best form for Ross Sugars.
He hasn’t seen the standing start for a while and is ODS but he normally handles the tapes well and would only need to go around safely today to be extremely hard to beat.

Conflict Of Interest (Race 8 no. 2) $2.80.
Capable 4YO who has been doing his recent racing in NSW where he has snared the silver medal at Wagga and Goulburn at his past two in fast time for the sprint trip. He faces a big drop in grade today, draws to be in the firing line throughout and with all due respect to his opposition he really does look a class above them and should be winning.

Best Roughies

Oi You (Race 5 no. 2) $51/$9.69 TAB Fixed Odds. Click here to bet on this horse now.
This bloke has ordinary numbers next to his name but he has been coming off big handicaps of late and will relish the return to the front line, as he goes best in or near the lead. The last time he drew off the front in a race he finished a gallant second to Xanderxav in the Group 3 Coulter Crown at Melton back in April so at the odds today he is worth a gamble.

Our Archangel (Race 7 no. 4) $14/$3.47 TAB Fixed Odds. Click here to bet now.
Didn’t do much at his first run for a month at Melton last time behind the impressive Blucolla Tigerpie but he did run an excellent second to Ronald George at Bendigo prior where he took a trail on Givitaname before finishing off strongly at the end of a 56.6 final half. He is a good beginner as a rule and should he be able to secure a cheap run on the pegs he is capable of surprising at juicy odds.

Quaddies (x4)

5/ 3,5/ 1,4,6,8/ 9.  $17.50 gets you 218.75%
5/ 3,5/ 1,4,6,8/ 3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11.  $32 gets you 50%
1,3,6,7,9,10/ 3,5/ 1,4,6,8/ 9.  $12 gets you 25%
1,3,6,7,9,10/ 3,5/ 1,4,6,8/ 3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11.  $38.50 gets you 10.02%


CRAIG RAIL’S GUNBOWER CUP DAY TIPS

Race 1:
MY MUMS A STAR (11)
Catchthateye (12)
Metrofromelle (7)
Walky Talky (6)

Race 2:
RAINBOW JAY JAY (11)
Campfire Glow (6)
Yankee Avenue (5)
Waikare Aristocrat (10)

Race 3:
ARRIENS (9)
Well To Do Lombo (12)
Prosecco (3)
Forest Fury (5)

Race 4:
ALINA (5)
Our Maylan (6)
Antiquities (9)
Flyin Indi Air (10)

Race 5:
ARMED GUARD (1)
Lightning Joy (5)
Our Dolly Would (4)
Kyvalley Roy (9)

Race 6:
KAMWOOD JACK (6)
Hezfullarunning (1)
La Moray (8)
Wunlastchance (9)

Race 7:
VERANJEE (9)
Dual Agent Tabman (3)
Master Joy (8)
Buriton Bailey (10)

Race 8:
CONFLICT OF INTEREST (2)
Classic Icon (9)
Robert Moreau (3)
Go El Zhar (8)



BLACK BOOKER – (Racing Tonight)

Forest Fury (Race 3 no. 5) ($4)
Charged for home at the 400m at Horsham last start and looked the winner before just knocking up the last 100m to go down narrowly behind Lombo Kotakinabalu. He has a stack of speed and if he gets the right kind of run off the pace today expect this well-bred son of Bettors Delight to be hard to hold out. Click here to view his most recent run.

STAR TRIALLERS – (Racing Tonight)

Prosecco (Race 3 no. 3) ($9)
She is a Maree Caldow trained three years old that was beaten narrowly by the subsequent Maryborough winner Blucolla Moon in a recent Tabcorp Park trial in a mile rate of 2.3.5 (58.7, 28.9).

Arriens (Race 3 no. 9) ($5)
Mixed it with some smart customers in his 6 outings last season and looks ready to go first up after trialling well at Shepparton in recent weeks. He looks like gaining a cheap run on the pegs, possibly behind likely leader Miss Elvira and is sure to be a threat once he sees open road in the stretch.

Kamwood Jack (Race 6 no. 6) ($3.60)
He’s a handy 6YO who resumes today off the back of an easy Shepparton trial success 10 days ago where he rated a moderate 2:05.0 but slipped home in 58.2. The wide draw is a bit of a concern over the 1390m but he does leave the mobile swiftly and can be dangerous fresh if he gets the right luck in running.

BLACK BOOKERS – (Melton Last Night)

Nowitzki
Indicated he will be a major player in the big 3YO races this term after a dominant victory last night where he just ran from start to finish to record 1:54.9 for the short course. He showed talent as a 2YO last season and can be followed with confidence this campaign if last night’s display is anything to go by. Click here to view the run.

Jordylan
He seems to be really thriving on being driven sit-sprint these days, as evidenced by his slashing third to Well Hello Dolly in the Gordon Rothacker Memorial Final last night. He won in grand style at Melton two back after a soft peg trip and is capable of winning another race at headquarters this campaign with the right run in transit. Click here to view the run.

BLACK BOOKER - (Cobram Monday)

Star Style
This girl galloped away from the mobile and settled last before making a long run out three wide from the 700m when a game third behind Rainbow Jay Jay at only her second run from a break. Her first up effort at Bendigo was sound and she is ready to break through for a win. Click here to view the run.

 

 

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