Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Dizzyinterest (Race 1 No.12) $4
This is a terrifically talented mare who won the Breed For Speed Bronze Series Final in tough style earlier this year but since then she has been pretty troublesome in her gait however first-up from a freshen, she should be cherry-ripe for this, so even from the second row, she can do some work and still be too good.

Mind The Wire (Race 5 No.8) $8.50
The main reason we are looking to this guy is due to the speed map which should play into his hands perfectly. Xavier Jack (1) can hold the top and give this guy a lovely trail into the race and while he doesn’t have a whole heap of change up speed, the aforementioned horse generally gets rolling from the half mile which suits Mind The Wire (8) down to the ground.

Coast Warning (Race 2 No.10) $6
This guy is pretty well-bred being a half-brother to the very quick Coastal and he showed good ability in his debut prep. Which saw him scale to the heights of taking on Padrisimo in the Premiere Stakes. He should have come on for that experience and returning from a solid spell, expect him to be a bit stronger and more race savvy and while there is a pretty big boom on Somebeach (2), on an each way basis it’s hard to ignore this guy.

Best Roughie ($5 win x $20 place)
Never Let Me Go (Race 4 No.9) $21
The scratching has really aided this mare’s chances given she will now trail out the likely leader and odds-on favourite in Smiling High (1). While he will be hard to beat, he hasn’t put big margins on his rivals in either of his past couple so given Never Let Me Go (9) hasn’t had the clearest of passages in her last couple of runs, this looks her chance to run a big race.

The Money Race
Race 3 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
This looks a nice punting race because there are five horses who rate clear above their rivals, headed by Ynobe Coby (1) from the gun alley, Beau Ciel (3) and Majorama (6). The plan is to anchor those three heavily but save on Niquero (8) and Funny Car (9) if they run anywhere in the placings.

Boxed 1,3,6. $24 gets 400%
1,3,6,/1,3,6/8,9. $12 gets 100%
1,3,6/8,9/1,3,6. $9 gets 75%
8,9/1,3,6/1,3,6. $5 gets 41.66%

The Quaddies (x4 worth $130)
1,6,7,8/6,8/2,3,8,9/1,4,5,10. $50 gets 39.06%
1,6,7,8/6,8/2,3,8,9/6,7,9. $24 gets 25%
1,6,7,8/2,7,9,10/2,3,8,9/1,4,5,10. $32 gets 12.5%
1,6,7,8/2,7,9,10/2,3,8,9/6,7,9. $24 gets 12.5%

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