Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Season 2103/14 is winding down fast & Good Form 2.0 is only 5 days away but until the brand new website with all its features is launched we still have to find a way to make a coin. In that spirit, I’m targeting one race for both my Best Bet & my Best Value while also focussing on 2 Money Races & 4 pretty expensive Quads.

Best Bet ($30 Win)
Whats The Big Idea (Race 5 no. 2) $3.80
This bloke isn’t the most reliable commodity going around but he gets conditions beautifully to suit here as he should lead them around over a short-course trip in a race with moderate pressure on a leaders track! On that basis, this is D-Day for him & I think he’ll get the chocolates if the cards all fall his way.

Best Roughie ($10 Win $20 Place) 
Alta Tearaway (Race 5 no. 8) $12
I’ve been following this mare pretty closely at her past few runs & I’m convinced she’s going pop up and steal a race of this nature at pretty handy odds. The draw is awkward but no deal-breaker and if they run along a bit she’ll only need a clear crack at them late to be a blowout chance.

The Money Races
Race 4
Jilliby Jagger (4) may well feature in a Chariots of Fire next season so the Horsham Guineas should be well within his grasp. Beyond him there are only three horses that should fill the next three positions & while it seems simple to say I think we’ll still get well rewarded for our efforts.

4/ 3,5,6/ 3,5,6/ 3,5,6. $60 gets 1000%

Race 6
Riverboat Princess (6) is a nice little horse who’ll probably win this race but I’ve also got respect for French Lesson (1) and Glenferrie Breeze (7) & think between them they should comprise the Trick. I’ve made some provisions if they don’t but it would be best for us if the big guns dominated here.

6/ 1,7/ 1,7. $20 gets 1000%
1,7/ 6/ 1,7. $10 gets 500%
6/ 1,7/ 3,5. $16 gets 400%
1,7/ 6/ 3,5. $4 gets 100%

The Quads (x4 for $180)
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 4/ 11. $72 gets 800%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 4/ 1,8,12,13. $72 gets 200%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 2,3,7,8,10/ 11. $18 gets 40%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 2,3,7,8,10/ 1,8,12,13. $18 gets 10%

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