Friday, August 29, 2014

Good Form Preview - Friday Night @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s the final Metropolitan meeting of season 2013/14 tonight & I’ve decided to go out with a bang by investing no less than $500 on tonight’s monster Melton Game Plan! The cornerstone of tonight’s punting bonanza will be both the Early and Standard Quads but in total, we’ve have an interest in 9 of the 10 races up for decision so sit back, grab a beer, open the phone account and enjoy!

Best Bets/All-Up ($80 Win)
Karkarooc (Race 3 no. 11) $1.40
This guy has been winning his races from the top end but he looks a very smart customer who should not be stopped by the second row draw.

Just Cala (Race 4 no. 7) $1.60
This filly is coming off a brilliant Breeders Crown win last weekend and if she wasn’t flattened by that effort she can sit anywhere in transit here and still prove far too good.

Shared Interest (Race 10 no. 4) $1.10
This is just icing on the cake. Im my opinion this guy could well be the best Victorian 3YO Trotter going around next term and should certainly finish a fruitful juvenile campaign with success tonight.

Best Value ($40 Win)
Blazeaway Macray (Race 5 no. 1) $4
I’m keen here. This mare has always thrived on short course racing at Melton and she never races better than when allowed to lead and dictate terms from the top. The key for her here is that she should get an uncontested lead and with no obvious pressure horses engaged she can thieve a mid-race quarter and let go when she likes. Tandias Bromac (11) is an obvious threat but she’ll have her work cut out from the draw.

The Money Races (Flexi Trifectas for $60)
Race 4
As mentioned above I think that Just Cala (7) has something of a mortgage on this race and should out-sprint her rivals with only those who also tackled the ABC series that she won likely to join her on the dais.

7/ 1,3,6/ 1,3,6. $42 gets 700%
7/ 1,3,6/ 2,4,8. $18 gets 200%

Race 7
Hilltop Hustler (2) was nothing short of awesome when first up last weekend and if he doesn’t have some kind of ‘second-up syndrome’ he’ll brain this lot tonight. The main questions that require answering are whether he will get the lead and if he does get the lead whether Asoka (1) will kick through and trail him or Alchemy (3) will fly across early and hand up mid-race. I really don’t have a strong opinion on wither front but I do think Hilltop Hustler (2) can win from the lead OR the breeze & we’ve also made provisions for whichever scenario plays out.

2/ 1,8/ 1,3,8,9. $36 gets 600%
2/ 3,9/ 1,3,8,9. $12 gets 200%
2/ 1,8/ 4,5,7,13. $12 gets 150%

The EARLY Quads (x3 for $150)
1,7,9/ 1/ 11/ 7. $69 gets 2300%
1,7,9/ 1/ 11/ 1,3,6. $45 gets 500%
1,7,9/ 3,4,5,7/ 11/ 7. $36 gets 300%

The Quads (x5 gets $110)
1,11/ 9/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $50 gets 625%
1,11/ 9/ 2/ 4,8. $4 gets 100%
1,11/ 9/ 1,8/ 2,3,9,10. $16 gets 100%
1,11/ 1,2,3,8/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $32 gets 100%
2,10/ 9/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $8 gets 100%


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