Thursday, August 28, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 win)
William John (Race 1 No.4) $2.20
In what shapes as a genuine race in two, this guy has no question marks hanging over his head whatsoever. He had to park last time but wasn’t too bad in a bit of a blanket finish and this looks a drop in grade. Add to that the fact that he has been knocking on the door with a strong second behind Ainsdale three starts ago and a handy fourth at Ballarat and this really does look the race where he can break his maiden status.

Ya Messin (Race 7 No.1) $4.80
This guy was thoroughly unlucky first-up, he was locked away until seeing some space in the straight however after checking another horse he lost momentum and just didn’t have time to work into things late. He showed talent in his debut preparation when not far off Madison Louise and Clark Griswold and despite not having a whole heap of early speed, it’s not an overly quick front line so if he doesn’t get shuffled back early, he will be really hard to beat.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Mairhed Fallen (Race 5 No.11) $10
This filly has the awkward draw on debut but this isn’t the strongest race and I was pretty impressed by her recent trial at Ballarat. She whipped around them mid-trial and went to the line under very little asking from David Murphy so while the time was pretty slow, there is definitely some ability there and at the odds she is worth a little punt.

Lisandros (Race 6 No.10) $10
This colt may have been beaten 10 metres on debut but I was impressed with the way he continued to find the line. He had trialled pretty well prior to that run and although there are a couple of unknowns, this race doesn’t look any stronger so with natural improvement he will be right in the money today.

Quaddies (x2 worth $100)
1,6,8,9,11/1,2,5,8,9,10/1/2,8,11. $60 gets 66.66%
1,6,8,9,11/1,2,5,8,9,10/4,5,6,8/2,8,11. $40 gets 11.11%

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