Friday, August 1, 2014

Good Form Preview - Friday @ Mildura

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bet ($50 win)
Vivant (Race 4 No.4) $3
Although this guy was beaten as favourite last time, there were a couple of excuses given he raced erratically and roughly on occasion. I’m banking on the fact that he simply wasn’t a happy horse on that day and if we go back to his previous start in the Sunraysia he smashed his rivals by over 10 metres. This isn’t an overly strong race so if he can bully his way to the top, they will have trouble running him down.

The Money Races
Race 1 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Buddonit (1) has been narrowly beaten at each of his past four however he really deserves a win and this does looks his race from the perfect barrier. Although Faenza (7) may not start second favourite, I think he is going a lot better than the form suggests and while we will bank on him to be behind the leader and favourite, he can throw some value into the trifectas. Manwarra Payroll (4) and Rattlenhum (5) are the only other place chances so we are playing the following combinations.
1/7/4,5. $20 gets 1000% 1/7/2,3. $12 gets 600%
1/4,5/7. $10 gets 500%
1/4,5/4,5. $8 gets 400%
Race 2 ($40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Boltenin (5) is another horse racking up the placings who I’m confident can breakthrough today and if the speed map works out to plan, Dream Always (1) will take a sit on him and be the leading place contender.  We will also play a little wider with Anarion (2) and Roll On Fake Red (7) to run somewhere in the money.

5/1/2,7. $22 gets 1100%
5/2,7/1,2,7. $12 gets 300%
1,2,7/5/1,2,7. $6 gets 100%
Race 6 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
We are again banking on the speed map lobbing here with Lis Mara Shadow (2) likely to cross Mcardles Art (1) early. From there we will be hoping they roll home in that order with plenty of chances including Superstar Xpress (3), Soho Jagger (4), Hayabusa Flyer (5) and Indigo Smile (7) for third.
2/1/3,4,5,7. $28 gets 700%
2/3,4,5,7/1. $12 gets 300%
2/3,4,5,7/3,4,5,7. $10 gets 83.33%
Quaddies (x4 worth $110)
4/5/2/10. $45 gets 4500%
4/5/1,3,4,5,7/10. $25 gets 500%
4/3,4,6/2/10. $24 gets 800%
1,3,6,9/5/2/10. $16 gets 400%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.