Thursday, February 28, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Races

Race 4
Must Be Nice will be much too good here with Doomed and Onetolove the most likely to fill the placings so I’ll take one trifecta with that trio for a lot and another with Bettors De Beau, Johnny Tsunami, Ata Beau and Mary Mon to run third for less.   Below is how I’m playing for $100 total spend.

6/ 1,7/ 1,7.  $50 gets you 2500%
6/ 1,7/ 3,5,8,10.  $50 gets you 625%

Race 5
Teniamo got the job done first up from a long spell at Bendigo two weeks back and with that run sure to improve him he looks the one to beat here with Sporty Mac and to a lesser extent Satisfied Grin his only dangers.  I’m going to take the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

5/ 3/ 1,2,8.  $15 gets you 500%
5/ 1,2,8/ 3.  $15 gets you 500%
5/ 1,2,3,8/ 1,2,3,8.  $46 gets you 383.33%
2,3/ 5/ 1,2,3,8.  $24 gets you 400%

Race 7
La Pucelle and Illawong Sister Styx are clearly the ones to beat here with Funny Car and Ashira Bromac the only ones capable of knocking them off so I’m going to play the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

3,4/ 3,4/ 1,5.  $40 gets you 1000%
3,4/ 1,5/ 3,4.  $40 gets you 1000%
1,5/ 3,4/ 1,5.  $20 gets you 500%

Race 8
Keeper Of The Fire and Heza Panamach look to have the wood on their rivals with Card Player and Loose Wire the only ones given a chance at causing an upset so I’m going to play the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

4,5/ 4,5/ 1,2,6,8.  $44 gets you 550%
4,5/ 1,2,6,9/ 4,5.  $32 gets you 400%
1,8/ 4,5/ 1,2,4,5,6,8.  $24 gets you 150%

Quaddies x4 $100 outlay
6/ 5/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 3,4.  $56 gets you 400%
6/ 5/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 1,5.  $23 gets you 164.28%
6/ 2,3/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 3,4.  $14 gets you 50%
6/ 2,3/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 1,5.  $7 gets you 25%

BLACK BOOKER

Illawong Sister Styx (Race 7 no. 4) $3.20
Smart mare who resumed from a break at Geelong 9 days ago with a slashing third to Our Flash Of Fire where she charged home from near last on the turn in slick sectionals.  She will be improved by that outing and is sure to be dangerous in this second up if things go her way in the run.

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