Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night at Shepparton

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bet

Forbidden Forest (Race 2 no. 11) $3

This guy has had the two runs back from a break for solid efforts behind smart types Royal Hustler and My Hard Copy on this circuit and to say that he will relish the drop in grade tonight is an understatement.  He does have the poor draw to overcome and will have to do the work in the run but his class should see him go very close in what is a moderate affair.

Best Roughie

Charli Springfield (Race 1 no. 1) $21

Handy type who wasn’t disgraced last time at Ballarat when fifth to star filly Our Femme Fatale and her narrow third to Korobeit Angel (Rogers Passion 2^nd) at Swan Hill prior where she trailed the speed was quite good.  She looks like sitting behind Rogers Passion once more tonight from the ace alley and is worthy of a ticket each way at the generous odds.

The Money Races

Race 1

Rogers Passion looks the leader here and the one to beat but she is by no means a moral with Illawong Joyful, Charli Springfield and Luke Hobbs in with a shot at knocking her off so I’m going to play safe and take the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

2/ 1,8,12/ 1,3,4,6,8,10,12. $50 gets you 277.77%

1,8,12/ 2/ 1,3,4,6,8,10,12. $50 gets you 277.77%

Race 4

Majestic Reign holds all the aces from the pole draw and should win but she is rising in class a tad tonight and it wouldn’t totally shock me to see her rolled so I’m going to err on the side of caution and take the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

1/ 2,3,5,6,8/ 2,3,5,6,8.  $80 gets you 400%

2,3,5/ 1/ 2,3,5,6,8.  $30 gets you 166.66%

Race 5

Just Live Life is the yardstick here and although he draws widely he should push forward, race handy and be extremely hard to get past with Ezee Duzit Lombo his only threat so I’m going to base my trifectas around the pair.  Below is how I’m playing for $100 total spend.

7/ 9/ 1,2,3,8,10.  $40 gets you 800%

7/ 1,2,3,8,10/ 9.  $40 gets you 800%

9/ 7/ 1,2,3,8,10.  $20 gets you 400%

Race 6

Modern Velocity ticks all the boxed here as she should get a comfortable lead and over the short course she will take plenty of running down, but she is still in danger of being rolled so I’m going to again play safe with the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

2/ 1,3,4/ 1,3,4,5,8,12.  $80 gets you 533.83%

1,4/ 2/ 1,3,4,5,8,12.  $20 gets you 200%

Race 7

This is a cracking race to wind up the Quaddie with Whata Avenue, My Hard Copy and Dobop looking much better than their opposition and I think they will fill the trifecta so I’m boxing them up for $100 total spend to hopefully cap off a successful night on the punt.

2,3,5.  $100 gets you 1666.66%

Quaddies x 4 $100 Outlay

1/ 7,9/ 2/ 2,3,5.  $35 gets you 583.33%

1/ 7,9/ 1,4/ 2,3,5.  $35 gets you 291.66%

2,3,5/ 7,9/ 2/ 2,3,5.  $15 gets you 83.33%

2,3,5/ 7,9/ 1,4/ 2,3,5.  $15 gets you 41.66%