Thursday, February 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Charlton

THE GAME PLAN for Charlton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

All up
There will be 5 short-priced favourites on today’s card and I think they should all win so I’m going to take them in an all up and hope that everything goes to plan.  By my calculations you should get around $6 back for every $1 you invest, which seems pretty good to me.

Drunken Desire (Race 1 no. 2)          Approximate odds $1.60
Almost El Eagle (Race 2 no. 9)          Approximate odds $1.40
Kurahaupo Quin (Race 4 no. 4)        Approximate odds $1.60
Crusader Acey (Race 5 no. 9)                        Approximate odds $1.30
Lavra Florence (Race 7 no. 7)                       Approximate odds $1.40

Best Trifectas
If you’re not feeling as confident as I am about the above bet then maybe the exotics are your go and I’ve come up with the below trifectas as an alternative.  I’m going to throw $100 at each race for a total spend of $500.

Race 1
2/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,7.  $100 gets you 1111.11%

Race 2
9/ 1,2,3/ 1,2,3,4.  $100  gets you 1111.11%

Race 4
4/ 6/ 2,3,5,7.  $50 gets you 1250%
4/ 2,3,5,7/ 6.  $30 gets you 750%
6/ 4/ 2,3,5,7.  $20 gets you 500%

Race 5
9/ 10/ 1,3,4,5,6.  $20 gets you 400%
9/ 1,3,4,5,6/ 10.  $20 gets you 400%
9/ 1,3,4,5,6,10/ 1,3,4,5,6,10.  $60 gets you 200%

Race 7
7/ 8/ 2,4,5,9.  $50 gets you 1250%
7/ 2,4,5,9/ 8.  $30 gets you 750%
8/ 7/ 2,4,5,9.  $20 gets you 500% 

Quaddies x 4 $100 Outlay
4/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 7.  $50 gets you 1000%
4/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 8.  $25 gets you 500%
6/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 7.  $15 gets you 300%
6/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 8.  $10 gets you 200%

STAR TRIALLER

Almost El Eagle (Race 2 no. 9) $1.40
Was one of this state’s better 2YO’s last season, winning 4 of his 12 outings and he resumes today off the back of an easy Shepparton trial success two weeks back from behind the strands where he ripped home in 57.7.  He doesn’t strike a strong race first up and unless one of the debutantes is a freak then he should be much too good first up.

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