Thursday, March 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

ALL UP
I’m going to take a 3-leg all up tonight with the Rubys Bad Boy/Our Femme Fatale quinella in Race 4, Majorlook to win Race 5 and Three Pints to win Race 6 all looking past the post in my opinion.  By my calculations we should get back around $2.50 for every $1 we invest so I’m going to take it for $100, which along with the below trifectas and Quaddie will take my total outlay for the night to $500.

BEST TRIFECTAS

Race 4
Rubys Bad Boy and Our Femme Fatale have lengths on their rivals and should run the quinella with Winter Lane and General Justice the most likely to fill third spot so I’m going to play hard with that quartet in a trifecta.

4,8/ 4,8/ 1,2.  $100 gets you 5000%

Race 6
Three Pints makes his debut for the Freddy Taiba stable here and should take care of business with Modern Velocity and Hugh all but guaranteed to fill the second and third spots so I’m going to hit that trifecta hard.

9/ 3,4/ 3,4.  $100 gets you 5000%

Race 7
Mark Dennis and American Muscle should fight this out with Ohoka Mach and Centonic the key place chances so I’m going to base my trifectas around that quartet.

1,6/ 1,6/ 3,5.  $50 gets you 1250%
1,6/ 3,5/ 1,6.  $50 gets you 1250%

QUADDIE
4,8/ 7/ 9/ 1,6.  $100 gets you 2500%

STAR TRIALLER

Three Pints
Former Mark Purdon-prepared 3YO who is now with Freddy Taiba and this talented type looks primed for a first up kill going by his narrow second to fellow smart youngster in Ginger Bliss at Bacchus Marsh 12 days where they finished off in 28.7, which is low flying at ‘the Marsh’.  He isn’t opposed to any superstars first up for the new camp and expect him to be too strong.

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