THE GAME PLANS for GSS Night
Michael Polster (@mickpolster)
Best Bets
Purplepeopleater (Race 1 no. 4) $1.65 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
She was rolled as a $1.20 favourite in her heat of this final at Maryborough by Death Defying but she was first up from a spell there and with the fitness improvement factor plus the barrier draw advantage over her main rivals I expect her to be a shade too strong second up.
Roy Hobbs (Race 5 no. 6) $3 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
I’m a massive fan of this bloke and he has looked terrific in all three of his victories this time in, racing in a variety of different roles. He leaves the mobile swiftly, looks a big chance of taking up the running and I don’t think Blitzthemcalder or Our Dreamlover will be able to mow him down.
Brylin Crescent (Race 8 no. 6) $2.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
I got plenty from this mare when she knocked off Waikare Patricia from the front end in her heat of this final at Shepparton last week and I can see the exact same thing happening again tonight so I’m going to load up once more at the black odds.
Best Value Bet
Jingling Silver (Race 7 no. 1) $6.50 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
Ran a super race for second to Aleppo Midas in a heat of tonight’s final at Bendigo two back and I think she was going to win a further heat at Shepparton last week for sure before busting up shortly after Daryl Douglas guided her down into the sprint lane where she ended up fifth behind Shes An Image. That was out of character for her and with the nice sit on that mare expected tonight from the ace alley I think she can get the cash at juicy each way odds.
The Money Race
Race 8
As mentioned above I’m pretty keen on Brylin Crescent to get the cash with Waikare Patricia her only danger and Sultry Lady the clear third pick so I’m going to play hard with that trio in a couple of trifectas and hope that history repeats itself from the heat they ran 1,2,3 in at Shepparton last week. I’m going to throw $100 at the below bets.
6/ 10/ 1. $20 gets you 2000%
6,10/ 1,6,10/ 1,6,10. $80 gets you 2000%
Big6
1,2,4,9,11/ 1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,3,4,7,12,13/ 1,5,10/ 6,10. $100 gets you 3.17%
Quaddie
1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,3,4,7,12,13/ 1,5,10. $100 gets you 31.74%
Roy Hobbs (Race 5 no. 6) $3 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
It’s a shame we’ve had a couple of key scratchings in this race because this guy was even better value once upon a time but $3 is still more than handy. The way I see this race being run, he will relieve Bellmac Kody (2) soon after the start and if he does Blitzthemcalder (5) will need to be every bit the megastar people believe he is to run him down.
Brylin Crescent (Race 8 no. 6) $2.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
Speed maps can be fraught with danger when dealing with squaregaiters who mix and match between the mobile and the stand but this race looks a Speed Map special with Mister Gunsen (2) finding the front and my bloke above getting the cosy trip right behind him all the way. Mister Gunsen (2) is going very well at the minute and should get us to the sprint lane where our guy’s superior sprint should be the difference late.
As mentioned above, I think this is ALMOST a classic two-horse race with Brylin Crescent (6) and Waikare Patricia (10) extremely well placed to fight out the race. There are also limited chances to fill even a minor hole, so playing four Trifectas and hoping for a result.
6/ 10/ 1,5,9. $60 gets 2000%.
6/ 1,5,9/ 10. $15 gets 500%.
10/ 6/ 1,5,9. $21 gets 700%.
10/ 1,5,9/ 6. $4 gets 133.33%.
Quaddie
1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,4,7,8,12,13/ 1,5,10. $100 gets 31.75%.
TABCORP PARK TRAINER TALK - Graham McDermott
Best Chance
Waikare Patricia (Race 8 no.10) $2 TAB Fixed Odds - Click here to bet on this horse
"She is a very smart filly but the barrier draws have gone agoainst us tonight. We were not diappointed with her last start effort even though it was probably a shade below her best but even havign said that I think we'll need every ounce of luck to beat Brylin Crescent if she lands in front of us as expected."
Other
Waikare Aristocrat (race 11 no.9) $4
"To be honest, he surprised us a little with his last start victory. It always halps when you land in front like he did but we didn't know he had a 57.7 (sec) last half in him so he's on the rise. It won't be as easy tonight from the draw but he's going really well and if the good 'Toff' shows up he can also win with luck."
BLACK BOOKER – Racing Tonight
Jason Bonnington
(@jasonbonnington)
Best Bets
There are few if any morals on tonight’s all-trotting card,
but I’ve found three EACH WAY specials that should ensure you finish with more
than you started.Roy Hobbs (Race 5 no. 6) $3 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
It’s a shame we’ve had a couple of key scratchings in this race because this guy was even better value once upon a time but $3 is still more than handy. The way I see this race being run, he will relieve Bellmac Kody (2) soon after the start and if he does Blitzthemcalder (5) will need to be every bit the megastar people believe he is to run him down.
Brylin Crescent (Race 8 no. 6) $2.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
Love this race. As far as I can tell, this mare, who has
flown since joining David Aiken, will just keep working after the start until
she gets the lead. So long as that doesn’t take more than half the race it will
take a massive performance from her only key rival Waikare Patricia (10) to see her get rolled.
Katmandonny (Race 11
no. 1) $4Speed maps can be fraught with danger when dealing with squaregaiters who mix and match between the mobile and the stand but this race looks a Speed Map special with Mister Gunsen (2) finding the front and my bloke above getting the cosy trip right behind him all the way. Mister Gunsen (2) is going very well at the minute and should get us to the sprint lane where our guy’s superior sprint should be the difference late.
The Money Race
Race 8As mentioned above, I think this is ALMOST a classic two-horse race with Brylin Crescent (6) and Waikare Patricia (10) extremely well placed to fight out the race. There are also limited chances to fill even a minor hole, so playing four Trifectas and hoping for a result.
6/ 10/ 1,5,9. $60 gets 2000%.
6/ 1,5,9/ 10. $15 gets 500%.
10/ 6/ 1,5,9. $21 gets 700%.
10/ 1,5,9/ 6. $4 gets 133.33%.
Quaddie
1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,4,7,8,12,13/ 1,5,10. $100 gets 31.75%.
BIG6
2,4,9,11/ 1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,4,7,8,12,13/ 1,5,10/ 6,10.
$100 gets 3.97%.TABCORP PARK TRAINER TALK - Graham McDermott
Best Chance
Waikare Patricia (Race 8 no.10) $2 TAB Fixed Odds - Click here to bet on this horse
"She is a very smart filly but the barrier draws have gone agoainst us tonight. We were not diappointed with her last start effort even though it was probably a shade below her best but even havign said that I think we'll need every ounce of luck to beat Brylin Crescent if she lands in front of us as expected."
Other
Waikare Aristocrat (race 11 no.9) $4
"To be honest, he surprised us a little with his last start victory. It always halps when you land in front like he did but we didn't know he had a 57.7 (sec) last half in him so he's on the rise. It won't be as easy tonight from the draw but he's going really well and if the good 'Toff' shows up he can also win with luck."
BLACK BOOKER – Racing Tonight
My High Expectations (Race 4 no. 8) $8 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
Ran a cracking race behind Vulcan in the Grand Prix last start where he rocketed home into fourth spot in fast closing fractions and if he is lucky enough to secure the gun run behind likely leader Aleppo Sunrise tonight he is sure to take holding out once he ducks down into the sprint lane.
STAR TRIALLER
Spidergirl (Race 10 no. 8) $2.40 TAB Fixed Odds - Click here to bet on this horse now
Star filly who has won 5 of her 7 outings to date, including both of her runs this time in back in January. She has been freshened up for this, beat stable mates and main rivals tonight Dizzyinterest and Vics Cheval in a trial on this circuit last Monday night in fine style and is sure to take beating, tricky draw and all.
SPEED MAPS
SECTIONAL SUPERSTAR
My High Expectations (Race 4 no. 8) $8 TAB Fixed Odds - Click here to bet on this horse now
It's all already been said in the BLACK BOOK section of this Good Form Blog but David aiken's American-bred star recorded the fastest last half (56.62) and fastest last quarter (27.52) of any trotter competing at Melton last weekend. That's why he's the best value runner in tonight's Great Southern Star series.
To view the sectional splits of EVERY HORSE in EVERY RACE at Melton last Friday night simply click here.
As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.
Fastest Last Half – Blucolla Tigerpie: 55.09secs
Fastest Last Quarter – Majorlook: 26.66secs
Fastest Last Mile – Gamblers Rustler: 1:52.38
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