Sunday, March 31, 2013

Good Form Preview - Frank Ryan Raceway

The Game Plan for Echuca – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Modern Velocity (Race 5 no. 7) $6
If you’re only having one bet all day then have a serious straight out plonk on this girl tonight. She has been marked at $6 in AAP publications but won’t start anything like those odds. Simply put, she looks almost certain to follow likely leader Lord Raptor (1) in transit and if she does then I can’t possibly see him holding her out at the knock.

Best Each Way

Maarek (Race 2 no. 10) $7
Most regular trots punters know that if you’re not in front or on the speed at Echuca, you’re in a world of pain but if this bloke comes up anything close to the $7 he’s been quoted at then back him Each Way despite the grandstand gate. He came from the clouds to win on Horsham Cup day then battled on gamely in much, much better company at Ballarat on Saturday night.

Best Quinella

Satisfied Grin (Race 4 no. 1) & Kurahaupo Quin (Race 4 no. 3)
This one is a little risky but if Kurahaupo Quin (3) finds the lead as expected with Satisfied Grin (1) strapped to his back it’s hard to see them not running one-two. If you want to play wider I’ve got a Trifecta outlined below.

1,3/ 1,3/ 2,5,6,7,9. $50 gets 500%.

Quaddies

1,3,6/ 7/ 4/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8. $40 gets 166.67%.
1,3,6/ 7/ 3,7,9/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8. $36 gets 50%.
1,3,6/ 1,8,10,11/ 4/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8. $24 gets 25%.

Good Form Preview - Warragul Cup Day

THE GAME PLAN for Warragul – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

THE MONEY RACES

Race 4
Artique is a quality 3YO who is the testing material from the ideal draw with Future Operator a clear second pick so I’m going to base some trifectas around them plus take another one as a saver with Artique to be beaten just in case.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

1/ 3/ 2,6,8,10.  $26 gets you 650%
1/ 2,6,8,10/ 3.  $26 gets you 650%
2,3,6,10/ 1/ 2,3,6,8,10.  $48 gets you 300%

Race 6
Inky Cullen should have little trouble registering his third victory this time in here with the pole marker Samantha Sparkle looking a good one to base some cheaper trifectas around courtesy of the beaut draw but I will also take a wide one just in case she misses the place.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

3/ 1,2,4,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,8,9.  $60 gets you 250%
3/ 1/ 2,4,5,6,8,9.  $30 gets you 500%
3/ 2,4,9/ 1.  $10 gets you 333.33%

QUADDIES x 4 $100 spend
1/ 3,4,5,7/ 3/ 4,7,10,11.  $40 gets you 250%
2,3,6,10/ 3,4,5,7/ 3/ 4,7,10,11.  $40 gets you 62.5%
1/ 3,4,5,7/ 3/ 1,2,3,12.  $10 gets you 62.5%
2,3,6,10/ 3,4,5,7/ 3/ 1,2,3,12.  $10 gets you 15.62%

STAR TRIALLERS

Ourbellabro (Race 3 no. 7) $4.50
Won 3 of her 7 outings last season and just failed to make the Vicbred Final after finishing a close up fourth to Beauty Secret in a Semi Final at Melton prior to going for break.  She resumes today off the back of a Geelong trial victory over gun 3YO Macha last Monday and although the draw isn’t ideal she is sure to be dangerous first up with the right luck in running.

Sports Fantasy (Race 5 no. 5) $6
Well-performed square gaiter who hasn’t been seen since finishing a handy fourth to Retained in the Scotch Notch Memorial at Melton back in October last year but he has been revved up for this with trial victories at Melton and Geelong recently.  He takes on some smart customers first up but looks primed for a big run.

Saturday, March 30, 2013

Good Form Preview - Saturday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

THE MONEY RACES

Race 1
Sultry Lady, Apollorita and Sir Pegasus look to have the wood on their rivals and a very likely to run the trifecta so I’m going to box that trio up for a decent percentage and take another with Marios Dream, Rakos and Salute The Wind on the third line as a back-up.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

Boxed 1,3,9.  $50 gets you 833.33%
1,3,9/ 1,3,9/ 8,11,12.  $50 gets you 277.77%

Race 5
Flaming Flutter and Macha should have too much class for their combatants here and I think they will run the quinella with Burra Sullivan the clear third pick so I’m going to play hard with that trio in a trifecta and take another with Clancys Fobwatch, Shakti Bromac and Three Pints on the third line as a back-up.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

5,7/ 5,7/ 1.  $50 gets you 2500%
5,7/ 5,7/ 2,4,6.  $50 gets you 833.33%

Race 6
Dobop looks mighty hard to roll in this but I don’t think she is past the post with Pass It To Billy, Forbidden Forest and No No No No No in with a shot at knocking her off so I’m going to take a couple of trifectas based around her winning or running second.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

3/ 2,6,9/ 2,6,7,8,9.  $60 gets you 500% 
2,6,9/ 3/ 2,6,7,8,9.  $40 gets you 333.33%

Race 7
Plenty of depth to this field but I do think Five Star Anvil will go very close as he looks the leader with Repelem, Smudge Bromac and American Muscle his dangers so once again I’m going to take a couple of trifectas based around him winning or running second.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

6/ 1,4,5,10/ 1,4,5,10.  $70 gets you 583.33%
1,5,10/ 6/ 1,4,5,10.  $30 gets you 333.33%

QUADDIES x 2 $100 spend
1,3,5,6,7,8,9/ 5,7/ 2,3,6,9/ 6.  $40 gets you 71.42%
1,3,5,6,7,8,9/ 5,7/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,5,10.  $60 gets you 35.71%

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Ballarat

THE GAME PLAN for Ballarat – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

THE MONEY RACE

Race 1
I found tonight’s program a difficult one to attack via the multiples but I think we can get off to a good start here by basing some trifectas around Hugh and Ourcrowninn who look to have the edge on their rivals.  Kisartis, Trysomemagic, Rock On Tiger, Boom Boom Hall and Mary Mon look the key place chances and below is how I’m playing for $100.

6,9/ 6,9/ 3,5,8,10,12.  $50 gets you 500%
6,9/ 3,5,8,10,12/ 6,9.  $50 gets you 500%

BEST ROUGHIE

Onetolove (Race 5 no. 3) $21 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
This filly has only won the one race to date but she will be winning plenty more this campaign if her super last start second to Rogers Passion in the HBV Trackbred Classic at Melton is anything to go by.  She ended up three-back the inside and would have probably gone past the winner there had she had more room to move along the passing lane and it must be remembered that she did beat home Glenferrie Shuffle that night so if she gets the right run in transit tonight I think she is in with a great chance at juicy odds.

QUADDIE
1,5,8,9/ 2,3,4,12/ 4,5,9,10/ 2,3,4,7,8,9.  $100 gets you 26.04%

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Hamilton

THE GAME PLAN for Hamilton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

THE MONEY RACES

Race 4
Night Affair is the testing material here with Vesper Lynd and Alta Antonio his only dangers so I’m going to base some first fours around that trio with Keayang Rustler and Stephs Caesar thrown in.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

3/ 1,4/ 1,4/ 2,6.  $50 gets you 1250%
3/ 1,4/ 2,6/ 1,4.  $25 gets you 625%
1,4/ 3/ 1,4/ 2,6.  $15 gets you 375%
1,4/ 3/ 2,6/ 1,4.  $10 gets you 250%

Race 6
This isn’t a strong race with Powerbolt and Corbin Lee looking to have the edge on their rivals so I’m going to take some trifectas around that pair with Freddy Franco, Jasper Chaton, Fill Billys Shoes, Captain Chequer and Jasmint to fill the placings.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

2,5/ 2,5/ 1,3,8,9,11.  $70 gets you 700%
2,5/ 1,3,8,9,11/ 2,5.  $30 gets you 300%

Race 7
Jilliby Daphne looks poised to go all-the-way from the ideal draw with Flaxton Filly the upset material on her back and Mister Seelster following inside runs so I’m going to play hard with that trio in some trifectas and go a little wider with Magical Bazz, Dam Lucky and Blissfull Spanker to cover all bases.  I really like this race so I’m splashing out and spending $200.

2/ 1/ 8.  $100 gets you 10000%
2/ 8/ 1.  $40 gets you 4000%
1/ 2/ 8.  $24 gets you 2400% 
2/ 1/ 4,9,10,12.  $24 gets you 600%
1/ 2/ 4,9,10,12.  $12 gets you 300%

QUADDIES x 4 $100 Total Spend
3/ 4,7,8,9/ 2,5/ 2.  $56 gets you 700%
3/ 4,7,8,9/ 2,5/ 1.  $12 gets you 150%
1,4/ 4,7,8,9/ 2,5/ 2.  $24 gets you 150%
1,4/ 4,7,8,9/ 2,5/ 1.  $8 gets you 50%

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night at Geelong

THE GAME PLAN for Geelong – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

BEST BETS

Blazeaway Macray (Race 6 no. 7) $1.90
Battled on bravely after a tough trip in the breeze here last start when second to Hoagy Bromac in fast time and although she may have to do it hard once more tonight from her extreme alley she might just have too much class for her rivals.

Discrimination (Race 7 no. 3) $2.50
Hadn’t been dangerous this time in before he showed his true talent here last start with an effortless all-the-way victory and with the lead likely to be his once more tonight he is sure to take catching over the sprint trip if he repeats that effort.

VALUE BET

Franco Templar (Race 1 no. 2) $5
This guy is ultra-consistent in this grade and tonight looks his best chance to crack it for an overdue win as he draws to lead and with his main dangers having to contend with back row draws that may give him the edge he needs to be successful.

THE MONEY RACES

Race 6
As mentioned above in the Best Bets Blazeaway Macray is clearly the one to beat but I don concede knockout chances to Fusion, Revivalist, Maybebaby and Ringtripleowe so in the interest of safety I’m going to play trifectas both ways.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

7/ 4,5,8,10/ 4,5,6,8,10.  $80 gets you 500%
4,5,8,10/ 7/ 4,5,6,8,10.  $20 gets you 150%

Race 7
As mentioned above in the Best Bets Discrimination would only need to replicate his last start victory on this track to be nigh on unbeatable tonight but similar to Race 6 I’m going to err on the side of caution and play trifectas both ways with dangers Now Shezaterror, Shifting Sand, Jasmine Sheffield and Black Caprice.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

3/ 6,7,8,9/ 1,4,6,7,8,9,10.  $80 gets you 333.33%
6,7,8,9/ 3/ 1,4,6,7,8,9,10.  $20 gets you 83.33%

QUADDIES x 4 $100 Total Spend
8,9/ 1,2,4,8,9/ 7/ 3.  $30 gets you 300%
8,9/ 1,2,4,8,9/ 7/ 6,7,8,9.  $27 gets you 67.5%
8,9/ 1,2,4,8,9/ 4,5,8,10/ 3.  $27 gets you 67.5%
8,9/ 1,2,4,8,9/ 4,5,8,10/ 6,7,8,9.  $16 gets you 10%

STAR TRIALLER

Hes Kinky (Race 3 no. 7) $2.70
Is now with Emma Stewart and he has trialled nicely at Melton since making an error when in the lead at Maryborough last time out.  He draws the car park with pace to his inside but he is very quick off the arm and whether Gavin Lang makes a play for the lead or opts for plan B he should take beating first up for the new stable.

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Mary

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Jason Bonnington

The Skinny Double

Truman (Race 2 no. 9) $1.50 & Timeseel (Race 4 no. 6) $1.40
I’m well aware this Emma Stewart-inspired wager will not make you rich but I really can’t see either of these horses going under in their respective races so have a decent crack and use the profit to bolster your investments on the Quad. A $100 bet should snare you $210 and doubling your money is never a nasty experience.

The Money Races

Race 2
Fairly simple philosophy here that Truman (9) is simply the best horse in the race and Itscottobegood (3) is racing too well to miss a place. Play the four tricks below and you shouldn’t be far away from the money.

9/ 3/ 2,5,10. $45 gets 1500%.
9/ 3/ 1,4,11. $22.50 gets 750%.
9/ 2,5,10/ 3. $22.50 gets 750%.
9/ 1,4,11/ 3. $10 gets 333.33%.

Race 5
There’s a certain element of risk and reward here given most of the horses engaged here are not exactly honest but I’m pretty keen that if my Speed Map runs to plan with Lycoming Racer (1) holding the top and Foldem (8) holding up behind him, then the only horse who can stop them running the Quinella is the talented but enigmatic Alta Tearaway (7). As a result I’m playing a main Trifecta and a couple of saver sand hoping the big dog gets the prize.

1,7,8/ 1,7,8/ 1,3,6,7,8,9,10. $75 gets 250%.
1, 7,8/ 3,6,9,10/ 1,7,8. $18 gets 75%.
1,7,8/ 3,6,9,10/ 3,6,9,10. $7 gets 19.44%.

Quaddies (x2)
6/ 1,7,8/ 2,3,5,7,11/ 3,4,6,7. $60 gets 100%.
6/ 1,7,8/ 2,3,5,7,11/ 1,2,8,9. $40 gets 66.67%.


Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night at Mildura

THE GAME PLAN for Mildura – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

TUESDAY NIGHT TRIFECTA FEST
There will be a number of short-priced favourites tonight and I think the majority of them will be successful but there isn’t a great deal of value backing them straight out so I’ve picked out the below 5 races to play some trifectas in the hope of more bang for our buck.  I’m going to spend $250 all up on the trifectas, which along with the Quaddie will take my total spend for the night to $350.  Here we go!

Race 1
9/ 4,5,8,10/ 4,5,8,10.  $36 gets you 300%
4,5,8,10/ 9/ 4,5,8,10.  $14 gets you 116.66%

Race 3
Boxed 2,6,9.  $32 gets you 533.33%
2,6,9/ 2,6,9/ 5,7.  $18 gets you 150%

Race 4
7/ 3,4,6/ 3,4,6.  $38 gets you 633.33%
3,4,6/ 7/ 3,4,6.  $12 gets you 200%

Race 5
Boxed 3,6,9.  $24 gets you 400%
3,6,9/ 3,6,9/ 2,4,8.  $26 gets you 144.44%

Race 6
11/ 6,10/ 1,4,5,6,8,9,10.  $36 gets you 300%
6,10/ 11/ 1,4,5,6,8,9,10.  $14 gets you 116.66%  

Quaddies (x4) $100 Outlay
7/ 3,6,9/ 11/ 1,2,8,10,11.  $30 gets you 200%
7/ 3,6,9/ 6,10/ 1,2,8,10,11.  $22 gets you 73.33%
3,4,6/ 3,6,9/ 11/ 1,2,8,10,11.  $30 gets you 66.66%
3,4,6/ 3,6,9/ 6,10/ 1,2,8,10,11.  $18 gets you 20%

Monday, March 25, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday at Yarra Valley

THE GAME PLAN for Yarra Valley – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

BEST BETS

Clevedon Betty (Race 2 no. 2) $2.40
It’s hard to believe this handy filly is still a maiden after 16 starts but that should change today as she draws to pounce on the lead, should get everything her own way at the head of affairs and it would be a shock to see her rolled.

Ohyeah Lifegoeson (Race 3 no. 12) $3
This guy hasn’t been seen anywhere near his best this campaign but things look on the up going by his trial success here last Tuesday where he beat handy type More Than Alright in close to the fastest time of the day and if he reproduces a similar effort today he’ll be too good.

Rowdy Rocket (Race 6 no. 1) $2
It’s a bit scary declaring a horse who has only won 1 from 44 but everything points to this fellow today as he was most impressive busting his maiden at Warragul last time from the front end and draws to repeat the dose this afternoon in this slightly harder affair.

Flaming Flutter (Race 7 no. 1) $1.40
Top class 3YO who was excellent winning his heat of today’s final at Cranbourne 13 days ago where he showed good speed to lead and with that run sure to benefit him plus the ace alley up his sleeve he should be too good once more.

Duke Of The Moment (Race 8 no. 11) $2.60
Classy Kiwi import with Dean Braun who performed well through the recent Tontine series, winning a heat easily at Hamilton before running a game second to Jarvsofaks in the final at Melton and although he will have to earn it off the 30m today his above average ability should be enough to get him home.

THE MONEY RACES

Race 2
As mentioned above in the Best Bets Clevedon Betty should be too good for this lot and I’m going to base my trifectas with her around Passionate Embrace who looks like getting the gun run behind Clevedon Betty with Mcrita, Open Heart and Louisiana Spring.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

2/ 1/ 3,7,8.  $45 gets you 1500%
2/ 3,7,8/ 1.  $45 gets you 1500%
1/ 2/ 3,7,8.  $10 gets you 333.33%

Race 4
Major Landscape and Intergalactic look to have the wood on their rivals with Clancys Fobwatch, Amaury and Dagati Image the key place chances so I’m going to take some trifectas with that quintet.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

1,2/ 1,2/ 4,5,8.  $60 gets you 1000%
1,2/ 4,5,8/ 1,2.  $40 gets you 666.66%

Race 6
As mentioned above in the Best Bets Rowdy Rocket is poised to go all-the-way once more today from the pole draw and with Steely Blue more than likely coiled up on his back I’m going to base some trifectas around that pair with Shezagrinner, Thewingman, Bella Hotshot, Son Of Sassy, One Tough Reign and Braeview Warrior.  Below is how I’m playing for $100.

1/ 8/ 3,4,6,7,11,12.  $42 gets you 700%
1/ 3,4,6,7,11,12/ 8.  $42 gets you 700%
8,11/ 1/ 3,4,6,7,8,11,12.  $16 gets you 133.33%

Race 7
Flaming Flutter is clearly the yardstick here and should win with ordinary luck with Regal Knight the upsets and most of the other runners in with a shot at filling third so I’m going to take the below trifectas based around the trio.  $100 total spend once more.

1/ 2,4/ 2,4.  $38 gets you $38 gets you 1900%
1/ 2,4/ 3,5,7,8,11,12.  $38 gets you 316.66%
2,4/ 1/ 2,4.  $12 gets you 600%
2,4/ 1/ 3,5,7,8,11,12.  $12 gets you 100%

QUADDIES x 5 $100 Total Spend
1,2/ 3/ 1/ 1.  $10 gets you 500%
1,2/ 2,3,8,9,12/ 1/ 1.  $30 gets you 300%
1,2/ 2,3,8,9,12/ 1/ 2,4.  $20 gets you 100%
1,2/ 2,3,8,9,12/ 8,11/ 1.  $20 gets you 100%
1,2/ 2,3,8,9,12/ 8,11/ 2,4.  $20 gets you 50%

STAR TRIALLERS

Ohyeah Lifegoeson (Race 3 no. 12) $3
He has raced below his best in three runs this time in but showed he is back on track by winning a trial on this circuit in fine style last Tuesday where he rated 2:01.8 and slipped home in 28.9.  He is clearly the best horse in this race and if he runs up to his potential they won’t beat him.

Paintball (Race 5 no. 2) $4
Talented mare who resumes from a short break today off the back of a Shepparton trial success 11 days ago where she accounted for stable mate and smart type Jasmine Sheffield so from the nice gate she is sure to be dangerous fresh.

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Good Form Preview - Sunday Night at Bendigo

THE GAME PLAN for Bendigo – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

I found tonight’s meeting a really difficult one and I can’t find anything to back with confidence, let alone playing the multiples, so in a bit of a rarity I’ve decided to throw plenty into the Quaddie and hope that I get the right results.  I’m going to take it for $360, which will get me 200% of the dividend.  Here’s hoping!

Quaddie
2,3,4,7,11/ 1,7,9,11/ 1,2,5/ 3,6,10.  $360 gets you 200%

STAR TRIALLERS

Mista Taptoe Lombo (Race 10 no. 8) $4.50
Showed some ability in 5 starts earlier this season and he looks ready to run a race first up tonight going by his trial victory on this circuit last Monday where he didn’t run flash time but did it comfortably.

Endorsement (Race 6 no. 5) $4.00
Looks well placed tonight with the claim for Josh Duggan and this speedy type rates as an each way show first up from a spell after trialling well on this track last Monday when second to the handy performer Advance To Go in reasonable time.

Gracenator (Race 8 no. 4) $3.50
Showed talent in 7 starts last season and she resumes tonight off the back of a trial victory on this circuit two weeks ago where she finished off in 28.9.  She leaves the gate well, looks a chance of getting the early lead and will be a major player thereafter.

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Good Form Preview - Great Southern Star Melton




THE GAME PLANS for GSS Night 

Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bets

Purplepeopleater (Race 1 no. 4) $1.65 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
She was rolled as a $1.20 favourite in her heat of this final at Maryborough by Death Defying but she was first up from a spell there and with the fitness improvement factor plus the barrier draw advantage over her main rivals I expect her to be a shade too strong second up.

Roy Hobbs (Race 5 no. 6) $3 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
I’m a massive fan of this bloke and he has looked terrific in all three of his victories this time in, racing in a variety of different roles.  He leaves the mobile swiftly, looks a big chance of taking up the running and I don’t think Blitzthemcalder or Our Dreamlover will be able to mow him down.

Brylin Crescent (Race 8 no. 6) $2.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
I got plenty from this mare when she knocked off Waikare Patricia from the front end in her heat of this final at Shepparton last week and I can see the exact same thing happening again tonight so I’m going to load up once more at the black odds.

Best Value Bet

Jingling Silver (Race 7 no. 1) $6.50 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse
Ran a super race for second to Aleppo Midas in a heat of tonight’s final at Bendigo two back and I think she was going to win a further heat at Shepparton last week for sure before busting up shortly after Daryl Douglas guided her down into the sprint lane where she ended up fifth behind Shes An Image.  That was out of character for her and with the nice sit on that mare expected tonight from the ace alley I think she can get the cash at juicy each way odds.

The Money Race

Race 8
As mentioned above I’m pretty keen on Brylin Crescent to get the cash with Waikare Patricia her only danger and Sultry Lady the clear third pick so I’m going to play hard with that trio in a couple of trifectas and hope that history repeats itself from the heat they ran 1,2,3 in at Shepparton last week.  I’m going to throw $100 at the below bets. 

6/ 10/ 1.  $20 gets you 2000%
6,10/ 1,6,10/ 1,6,10. $80 gets you 2000%

Big6
1,2,4,9,11/ 1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,3,4,7,12,13/ 1,5,10/ 6,10.  $100 gets you 3.17%


Quaddie
1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,3,4,7,12,13/ 1,5,10.  $100 gets you 31.74%




Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)


Best Bets
There are few if any morals on tonight’s all-trotting card, but I’ve found three EACH WAY specials that should ensure you finish with more than you started.

Roy Hobbs (Race 5 no. 6) $3 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
It’s a shame we’ve had a couple of key scratchings in this race because this guy was even better value once upon a time but $3 is still more than handy. The way I see this race being run, he will relieve Bellmac Kody (2) soon after the start and if he does Blitzthemcalder (5) will need to be every bit the megastar people believe he is to run him down.

Brylin Crescent (Race 8 no. 6) $2.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
Love this race. As far as I can tell, this mare, who has flown since joining David Aiken, will just keep working after the start until she gets the lead. So long as that doesn’t take more than half the race it will take a massive performance from her only key rival Waikare Patricia (10) to see her get rolled.
Katmandonny (Race 11 no. 1) $4
Speed maps can be fraught with danger when dealing with squaregaiters who mix and match between the mobile and the stand but this race looks a Speed Map special with Mister Gunsen (2) finding the front and my bloke above getting the cosy trip right behind him all the way. Mister Gunsen (2) is going very well at the minute and should get us to the sprint lane where our guy’s superior sprint should be the difference late.

The Money Race
Race 8
As mentioned above, I think this is ALMOST a classic two-horse race with Brylin Crescent (6) and Waikare Patricia (10) extremely well placed to fight out the race. There are also limited chances to fill even a minor hole, so playing four Trifectas and hoping for a result.

6/ 10/ 1,5,9. $60 gets 2000%.
6/ 1,5,9/ 10. $15 gets 500%.
10/ 6/ 1,5,9. $21 gets 700%.
10/ 1,5,9/ 6. $4 gets 133.33%.

Quaddie

1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,4,7,8,12,13/ 1,5,10. $100 gets 31.75%.

BIG6
2,4,9,11/ 1,6,8,10,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,2,4,7,8,12,13/ 1,5,10/ 6,10. $100 gets 3.97%.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Good Form Preview - Cup Night at Echuca

THE GAME PLAN for Echuca – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Race

Race 8
I found tonight a tricky meeting to bet at but I think the best race to attack is the George Croxford Tribute Final where Sokys Bigbullet and Almost El Eagle stand out from the rest.  I can see them sitting 1,2 in the run and dominating so I’m going to play some trifectas and first fours around the pair for a total of $400, which along with the Quaddie will take my total spend for the meeting to $500.  A little risky throwing all the eggs into one basket but I’m confident of a result.

Trifecta:  1,4/ 1,4/ 2,5,8,9,10,11.  $140 gets you 1166.66%
Trifecta:  1,4/ 2,5,8,9,10,11/ 1,4.  $60 gets you 500%
First Four:  1,4/ 1,4/ 2,5,8,9,10,11/ 2,5,8,9,10,11.  $140 gets you 233.33%
First Four:  1,4/ 2,5,8,9,10,11/ 1,4/ 2,5,8,9,10,11.  $60 gets you 100%

Quaddies x 2 $100 Outlay
1,2,3,4,5,6/ 1,2,4,7,9/ 1,2,6,10/ 5,9,10.  $50 gets you 13.88%
1,2,3,4,5,6/ 1,2,4,7,9/ 1,2,6,10/ 2,3,4,8,11,12.  $50 gets you 6.94%

BLACK BOOKER – Racing Tonight

Smudge Bromac (Race 7 no. 10) $4 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
This guy was other-worldly at Melton last start when forced to cover a stack of extra ground over the last mile and after hitting the lead on the turn he was only pipped on the post by Cut For An Ace who had a cheap run behind the leader.  He isn’t a massive fan of the standing start but with a safe beginning and a similar effort to last time he will shake the life out of this.

STAR TRIALLER

Thunder Fee (Race 1 no. 10) $3
Talented filly who resumes from a break tonight off the back of a Shepparton trial success 8 days ago where she finished off in 57.6 and although she draws poorly over the sprint trip first up her class will take her a long way towards winning this.

BLACK BOOKER – Kilmore Last Night

Centonic
Produced his customary turn of foot from near last on the turn to run a slashing third to American Muscle in a race that wasn’t run to suit him and this talented sit-sprinter is sure to be winning again soon going on that eye-catching performance last night.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

ALL UP
I’m going to take a 3-leg all up tonight with the Rubys Bad Boy/Our Femme Fatale quinella in Race 4, Majorlook to win Race 5 and Three Pints to win Race 6 all looking past the post in my opinion.  By my calculations we should get back around $2.50 for every $1 we invest so I’m going to take it for $100, which along with the below trifectas and Quaddie will take my total outlay for the night to $500.

BEST TRIFECTAS

Race 4
Rubys Bad Boy and Our Femme Fatale have lengths on their rivals and should run the quinella with Winter Lane and General Justice the most likely to fill third spot so I’m going to play hard with that quartet in a trifecta.

4,8/ 4,8/ 1,2.  $100 gets you 5000%

Race 6
Three Pints makes his debut for the Freddy Taiba stable here and should take care of business with Modern Velocity and Hugh all but guaranteed to fill the second and third spots so I’m going to hit that trifecta hard.

9/ 3,4/ 3,4.  $100 gets you 5000%

Race 7
Mark Dennis and American Muscle should fight this out with Ohoka Mach and Centonic the key place chances so I’m going to base my trifectas around that quartet.

1,6/ 1,6/ 3,5.  $50 gets you 1250%
1,6/ 3,5/ 1,6.  $50 gets you 1250%

QUADDIE
4,8/ 7/ 9/ 1,6.  $100 gets you 2500%

STAR TRIALLER

Three Pints
Former Mark Purdon-prepared 3YO who is now with Freddy Taiba and this talented type looks primed for a first up kill going by his narrow second to fellow smart youngster in Ginger Bliss at Bacchus Marsh 12 days where they finished off in 28.7, which is low flying at ‘the Marsh’.  He isn’t opposed to any superstars first up for the new camp and expect him to be too strong.

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Horsham

THE GAME PLAN for Horsham – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

ALL UP
In my opinion Goodtime Slater (Race 2 no. 10) $1.20, Big Mumma Fitz (Race 6 no. 6) $1.30 and Goodtime Mike (Race 8 no. 11) $1.40 should all be much too good in their respective races and with the all up looking like returning $2 for every $1 you invest it looks a relatively easy way to double you money.  I’m going to take it for $150, which along with the below trifectas and Quaddie will take my total outlay for the day to $500.

BEST TRIFECTAS

Race 2
Goodtime Slater will be much too good for this lot but there isn’t much between the other runners fighting it out for second and third so I’m going to play a wide trifecta and hope for a roughie or two to sneak into the placings.

10/ 2,6,7,9,11/ 2,4,6,7,8,9,11,12.  $50 gets you 142.85%

Race 3
Terror Toupee, Arr En Special and Clipper look the only winning chances here and should dominate with Life Is A Pleasure, Smokin Fields and Forced Out fighting it out for third spot so I’m going to base my trifecta around those runners.

3,4,12/ 3,4,12/ 1,3,4,10,11,12.  $50 gets you 208.33%

Race 4
Alta Antonio is the testing material here and he shouldn’t miss the top two so I’m going to play some trifectas around him with Rosharni, Vesper Lynd and Babes Boy Bob as the main threats and Lucys Pride, Igetaround, Lifes A Bonus and Heavyweight thrown onto the third line.

5/ 1,2,10/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,10.  $35 gets you 194.44%
1,2,10/ 5/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,10.  $15 gets you 83.33%

Race 5
I’m keen on Weallwantano here to get the cash but Gosh Heza Rebel, Bobby Maravu and The Unionist are in with a shot at knocking him off so I’m going to take one trifecta standing him out with the above mentioned runners plus Hector Barbossa and Whata Finale and another with him to be rolled just in case.

7/ 1,3,9,10,11/ 1,3,9,10,11.  $35 gets you 175%
9,10,11/ 7/ 1,3,9,10,11.  $15 gets you 125%

Race 6
Big Mumma Fitz should be too strong for her rivals with Chick At The Bar the one to base trifectas around as she draws to be prominent throughout with Ruby My Love, Blissfull Spanker, Stuck Up and Powerbolt the other key place chances.

6/ 1/ 2,7,9,12.  $30 gets you 750%
6/ 2,7,9,12/ 1.  $20 gets you 500%
   
QUADDIES X 3 $100 TOTAL SPEND
5/ 7/ 6/ 3.  $20 gets you 2000%
1,2,5,10/ 7,9,10,11/ 6/ 3.  $40 gets you 250%
1,2,5,10/ 7,9,10,11/ 6/ 4,6,9,10.  $40 gets you 62.5%

BLACK BOOKER – Mildura Last Night

Yelspa
Did a big job to run second behind Primo Tapia where she was forced to sit three-deep without cover the whole way before going down narrowly at the end of a 28.8 final quarter.  She has been improving with each run this campaign and looks ready to win again on her terrific effort last night.