Thursday, February 28, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Kilmore

THE GAME PLAN for Kilmore – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Races

Race 4
Must Be Nice will be much too good here with Doomed and Onetolove the most likely to fill the placings so I’ll take one trifecta with that trio for a lot and another with Bettors De Beau, Johnny Tsunami, Ata Beau and Mary Mon to run third for less.   Below is how I’m playing for $100 total spend.

6/ 1,7/ 1,7.  $50 gets you 2500%
6/ 1,7/ 3,5,8,10.  $50 gets you 625%

Race 5
Teniamo got the job done first up from a long spell at Bendigo two weeks back and with that run sure to improve him he looks the one to beat here with Sporty Mac and to a lesser extent Satisfied Grin his only dangers.  I’m going to take the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

5/ 3/ 1,2,8.  $15 gets you 500%
5/ 1,2,8/ 3.  $15 gets you 500%
5/ 1,2,3,8/ 1,2,3,8.  $46 gets you 383.33%
2,3/ 5/ 1,2,3,8.  $24 gets you 400%

Race 7
La Pucelle and Illawong Sister Styx are clearly the ones to beat here with Funny Car and Ashira Bromac the only ones capable of knocking them off so I’m going to play the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

3,4/ 3,4/ 1,5.  $40 gets you 1000%
3,4/ 1,5/ 3,4.  $40 gets you 1000%
1,5/ 3,4/ 1,5.  $20 gets you 500%

Race 8
Keeper Of The Fire and Heza Panamach look to have the wood on their rivals with Card Player and Loose Wire the only ones given a chance at causing an upset so I’m going to play the below trifectas for $100 total spend.

4,5/ 4,5/ 1,2,6,8.  $44 gets you 550%
4,5/ 1,2,6,9/ 4,5.  $32 gets you 400%
1,8/ 4,5/ 1,2,4,5,6,8.  $24 gets you 150%

Quaddies x4 $100 outlay
6/ 5/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 3,4.  $56 gets you 400%
6/ 5/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 1,5.  $23 gets you 164.28%
6/ 2,3/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 3,4.  $14 gets you 50%
6/ 2,3/ 1,3,5,7,9,10,12/ 1,5.  $7 gets you 25%

BLACK BOOKER

Illawong Sister Styx (Race 7 no. 4) $3.20
Smart mare who resumed from a break at Geelong 9 days ago with a slashing third to Our Flash Of Fire where she charged home from near last on the turn in slick sectionals.  She will be improved by that outing and is sure to be dangerous in this second up if things go her way in the run.

Good Form Preview - Thursday at the 'Borough

THE GAME PLAN for Maryborough – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Races

Race 4
The Good Times will be much too good here with Bel Vu Ayesha a clear second pick and the Devils Queen, Your Invited and Slippinalong the other key place chances so I’m going to play the below trifectas for a total spend of $200.

6/ 4/ 1,9,10.  $50 gets you 1666.66%
6/ 1,9,10/ 4.  $30 gets you 1000%
6/ 1,4,9,10/ 1,4,9,10.  $120 gets you 1000%

Race 8
Shakti Bromac has looked good winning 2 of his 3 outings and is the one to beat in this but I don’t think he is past the post with Glenferrie College and Hes Kinky in with a shot at knocking him off so I’m going to play the below trifectas; one with him to get the cash and another with him to get rolled.  I’m throwing $200 at this race as well.

10/ 7,11/ 7,11.  $150 gets you 7500%
7,11/ 10/ 7,11.  $50 gets you 2500%

Quaddies x4 $100 outlay
6/ 3,4,5,7/ 5/ 2.  $30 gets you 750%
6/ 3,4,5,7/ 4,6,11,13/ 2.  $32 gets you 200%
6/ 3,4,5,7/ 5/ 3,5,9.  $24 gets you 200%
6/ 3,4,5,7/ 4,6,11,13/ 3,5,9.  $14 gets you 29.16%

STAR TRIALLERS

Aleppo Tiger (Race 3 no. 2) $4.50
Michelle Eastman-trained son of Armbro Operative on debut today who has had an extensive trial campaign on this circuit in the past few months with victories at his past three appearances at the Sunday workouts.  Hayes And Kydd will take holding out but this guy has the barrier draw advantage and is in with a chance at causing a minor boilover first up.

The Unionist (Race 5 no. 3) $3.50
Finished down the track behind Magical Telf in a heat of the Tontine at Terang first up from a break but he has since run second to smart mare The Good Times (Kurahaupo Quin ran third and has since won at Charlton) in a Geelong trial and from the advantageous draw with the early lead his for sure he should take beating second up.

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night at Shepparton

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Races

Race 4
Muscle Stride looks mighty hard to beat here going by his debut second to Hes Kinky at Cranbourne and his only danger will be the debutante Majorlook who looked sharp winning a trial on this circuit last Thursday night so I’m going to take the below trifectas for an outlay of $200.

2/ 9/ 3,5,6.  $120 gets you 4000%
2/ 3,5,6/ 9.  $50 gets you 1666.66%
9/ 2/ 3,5,6.  $30 gets you 1000%

Race 6
Im Supersonic has finished down the track behind gun 3YO Macha at his past two at Melton but he will obviously find this much easier and looks practically past the post here with No No No No No and Trottin Rossco rating well clear of the remainder of the field so I’m going to play the below first fours for an outlay of $200.

1/ 5,8/ 5,8/ Field.  $112 gets you 800%
1/ 5,8/ Field/ 5,8.  $60 gets you 428.57%
5,8/ 1/ 5,8/ Field.  $14 gets you 100%
5,8/ 1/ Field/ 5,8.  $14 gets you 100%

Quaddies x2 $100 outlay
2,9/ 1,3,5,8/ 1/ 5,11,12.  $70 gets you 291.66%
2,9/ 1,3,5,8/ 5,8/ 5,11,12.  $30 gets you 62.5%

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Wine Country

The Game Plan for Yarra Valley – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Supaliner (Race 8 no. 1) $3
This guy has been taking on some seriously smart 3YO’s of recent times and while he’s no star, this race looks made to order. A good beginner, he has the aid of barrier one and the services of Gavin Lang so whatever beats him will win and the $3 quoted in today’s paper looks generous indeed.

Best Roughie

Popeye Village (Race 6 no. 9) $11
I’d have been very confident about this guy’s chances from a favourable front line draw but even from his second line alley he has better form than almost all of his rivals so if the double figure quote holds up you’re getting significant overs on an Each Way basis.

The Money Race – Race 4
This will be the make or break or race of the programme for me and I’m willing to throw $200 at it as a result. Put plainly, Bliss Man (6), Major Calipso (2) and Predominant Lombo (8) are head and shoulders above their rivals and should complete the trifecta in that order but the fact that Bliss Man (6) has yet to totally recapture his best from last season and Predominant Lombo (8) is first up from a 2 year break mean there could be some curveballs so savers are required as outlined below.

6/2/ 8. $104 gets 10400%.
2/ 6/ 8. $40 gets 4000%.
6/ 8/ 2. $20 gets 2000%.
2/8/ 6. $8 gets 800%.
6/ 2/ 4,7,9. $20 gets 666.67%.
2/ 6/ 4,7,9. $8 gets 266.67%

Quaddies (x2)

6/ 11,12/ 7,9,10,12/ 1,2,4,7,8. $70 gets 166.67%.
2/ 11,12/ 7,9,10,12/ 1,2,4,7,8. $30 gets 75%.

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Good Form Preview - Nyah @ Swan Hill

THE GAME PLAN for Nyah @ Swan Hill – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Trifecta Fest
I really like the look of tonight’s program from an exotic point of view and I’m keen to play in races 3,4,5,6 and 7 with trifectas my weapon of choice.  I’m going to spread $500 out over the below bets and hope for some nice results.

Race 3
3/ 6/ 5,7.  $70 gets you 3500%
3/ 5,7/ 6.  $30 gets you 1500%

Race 4
2,7/ 2,7/ 1,3.  $50 gets you 1250%
2,7/ 1,3/ 2,7.  $30 gets you 750%
1,3/ 2,7/ 1,2,3,7.  $20 gets you 250%

Race 5
8/ 1,3,4,5/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7.  $70 gets you 291.66%
1,3,4,5/ 8/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7.  $30 gets you 125%

Race 6
3,5/ 3,5/ 1,6,7,9.  $80 gets you 1000%
3,5/ 1,9/ 3,5.  $20 gets you 500%

Race 7
Boxed 3,4,7.  $60 gets you 1000%
3,4,7/ 3,4,7/ 1,6,8.  $40 gets you 222.22%

Quaddies x4 $100 outlay
2,7/ 8/ 3,5/ 3,4,7.  $30 gets you 250%
2,7/ 1,3,4,5/ 3,5/ 3,4,7.  $50 gets you 104.16%
1,3/ 8/ 3,5/ 3,4,7.  $10 gets you 83.33%
1,3/ 1,3,4,5/ 3,5/ 3,4,7.  $10 gets you 20.83%

Monday, February 25, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Hamilton

The Game Plan for Hamilton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Duke Of The Moment (Race 1 no. 6)
This guy is a well performed ex-Kiwi squaregaiter that has trialled well for new trainer Dean Braun since arriving on Aussie shores. That combination of credentials, plus the fact that he’s a great beginner form the strands, should ensure he makes a winning local debut this afternoon.

Money Races

Race 4
Over the mile here I see there being three well-drawn serious winning chances. They are Modern McKenzie (1), Bohemian Lombo (2) & Alta Antonio (8). More to that point, there’s only a few others that can even fill a hole in Amajorfrost (5), Lot Of Lip (9) and Shalackin (10). It’s always good from a punting perspective when you can rule out several runners for multiples so I’m playing the two Trifectas below and hoping for some value.

1,2,8/ 1,2,8/ 1,2,5,8,9,10. $64 gets 266.67%.
1,2,8/ 5,9,10/ 1,2,8.  $36 gets 200%.

Race 6
I’ve followed Foldem (1) into the forest and walked away an unhappy man several times this preparation, but I’m giving him one more chance today as this race looks his for the taking. An excellent beginner, he should be able to keep everyone at bay early and over the short course in a race with little obvious pressure, that should be enough to win. If he’s happy to be beaten by one yet again however, we’ll also have a saver so the race isn’t a total bust.

1/ 2,4,8,11/ 2,3,4,8,10,11. $80 gets 400%.
2,4,8,11/ 1/ 2,3,4,8,10,11. $20 gets 100%.

Quaddie

1,2,8/ 5,7,9,11,12/ 1/ 2,4,6,9. $60 gets 100%.



Sunday, February 24, 2013

Good Form Preview - Sunday Session at Bendigo

THE GAME PLAN for Bendigo – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Play of the Day

Race 6
This race looks a great one to attack as Ponder In Paris should have little trouble holding the front from the pole draw and looks an absolute moral with Know One getting the lovely sit on her back from the trailing draw and I think they look a great base for trifectas.  I’m throwing $200 at the below bets.

1/ 8/ 2,3,4,5,9,10.  $100 gets you $120 gets you 2000%
1/ 2,3,4,5,9,10/ 8.  $100 gets you $80 gets you 1333.33%

Quaddies x2 $100 outlay
3,6,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,10,11/ 1/ 2.  $37.50 gets you 150%
3,6,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,10,11/ 1/ 6,7,9,11.  $62.50 gets you 62.5%

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Good Form Gtown - Cup Night @ Beckley


THE GAME PLAN for Geelong – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Value Bets

Eljulio (Race 4 no. 2) $3.20 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
Ran a game race in his heat of this series at Stawell last Monday where he moved up without cover and stuck on bravely for second to the flying Ballochbuie at the end of a 27.6 final quarter, which is virtually unheard of around that circuit.  He comes up with a better barrier this time around, may get to the pegs first and from there Greg Sugars will give him every chance.

Illawong Magic (Race 5 no. 5) $4 TAB Fixed Odds – Click here to bet on this horse now
Was wide the whole way from his second row draw at Melton last week when a close up sixth to Sparks Ignite and his game second to Earl Harbour in the Terang Trotters Cup prior is a great form reference for this.  He should be prominent in the run tonight and looks great gamble on an each way basis.

Quaddies x2 $100 outlay
2,3,4,7,9,11/ 5,8,13/ 3/ 4,10.  $40 gets you 111.11%
2,3,4,7,9,11/ 5,8,13/ 1,9,10/ 4,10.  $60 gets you 55.55%

Friday, February 22, 2013

Good Form Preview - Dirty Dozen @ Tabcorp Park


HUTCHY'S VIDEO PREVIEW



THE GAME PLANS FOR VICTORIAN HQ

Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bet

Guns N Roses (Race 1 no. 12) $2.70
This guy is always competitive in this grade and comes off a gallant second to Lets Slash An Burn in one of these races here 2 weeks ago where he did his share of work in the run and boxed on bravely.  His task is made a little difficult tonight from the back row draw over the short course but there should be some speed early on and he should be able to sit wide the last circuit and shake the life out of this.

Best Value Bet

Bon Jovi (Race 8 no. 7) $9
There is an element of risk involved here as his chances hinge on being able to spear across the face of the field and take up the running, but I think it is worth the punt.  He led them up in his heat of tonight’s final at Shepparton and did a good job to run second to Ezee Duzit Lombo, who had the cold sit on him, and with that mare drawing the second row this time around I think he has a chance of turning the tables.

The Money Race

Race 5
I really like the look of this race, as I can see Because I Can handing up to stable mate Mark Dennis with Washmepockets sitting up outside the pair and I think they will dominate.  I think the best way to attack this race is via some trifectas, which I have outlined below.  I’m going to throw $200 at them and hope for some juicy dividends.

Trifecta: Boxed 1,3,5.  $80 gets you 1333.33%
Trifecta: 1,3,5/ 1,3,5/ 2,6,8,9,10.  $120 gets you 400%

Quaddie
1,3,5,7,8/ 1,3,5/ 1,3,4,9/ 1,2.  $100 gets you 83.33%

Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s an unusual night at HQ with no morals across the 12-race card. That being said, there’s plenty of value on offer so I’ll be targeting a couple of roughies & putting a little extra into Quads, but my night will be defined by The Money Race – Race 7, which I’ll be smashing every which way I can.

Best Roughies

Mister Douglas (Race 1 no. 3) $11 & Dartmoor (Race1 no. 13) $13

Tonight could kick off on a big winning note if either of these guys can secure victory. Mister Douglas (3) is a teenager now but he continues to race in super form and will actually thrive on the speed created by a big field with a preferential draw. Double figures looks very juicy for him, while Dartmoor (13) also looks enormous value after marking his return to Dean Braun’s Lara stables with a brutal victory over a slightly easier field than this last time out. I marked these two $6.50 and $4.20 respectively so get on if their TAB price is any bigger than that.

Captian Cullen (Race 5 no. 8) $17

This guy is probably a place-only proposition but he draws to follow out brilliant beginner and likely leader Because I Can (1) and after two eye-catching runs back from a break he looks a great chance of filling a hole over the short-course trip.

The Money Race

Race 7***

This will be the make-or-break event of the night for me as I think it looks a ripper betting race with very few winning hopes where peg domination should reign supreme. The one query is whether Ubringthedrinks (4) can win the start. If he does, our whole plan is in major jeopardy but I’m punting on Our Blackbird  (2) finding and retaining the top and if he does, Veranjee (1) will be behind him, with Composed (8) three pegs. Amazingly, they will not only be the three best positioned horses in the run but probably the three best as well. That makes them very likely to fill the Trifecta, with only Jukebox Music (6) & Wartime Sweetheart (11) capable of running into third.  

Trifectas
2/ 1/ 8. $80 gets 8000%.
2/ 8/ 1. $40 gets 4000%.
1/ 2/ 8. $20 gets 2000%.
2/ 1,8/ 6,11. $40 gets 1000%.
1/ 2/ 6,11. $20 gets 500%.

Quaddies (x3)
1,3,5,7,8/ 1,9/ 1,2,3,4/ 1,2. $80 gets 100%.
1,3,5,7,8/ 1,9/ 1,2,3,4/ 6,8,11. $30 gets 25%.
1,3,5,7,8/ 5,10/ 1,2,3,4/ 1,2. $40 gets 50%.


Thursday, February 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night at Echuca

THE GAME PLAN for Echuca – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bets

Stormed Out (Race 6 no. 2) $2.00
This guy won 2 of his 11 outings last season and more often than not mixed it with some of the best in his age group.  He resumes from a spell tonight with two solid Melton trials under his belt and from the ideal draw in a moderate affair he should be too good.

Dobop (Race 7 no. 8) $1.70
Handy mare who looks well-placed tonight with the concession and she drops a mile in grade after contesting a heat of the Provincial Cup at Shepparton last start when fifth to Whata Avenue.  She was excellent in all-the-way victories at Cobram and on this circuit prior and she should bounce back.

Best Trifectas

Race 6
2/ 5/ 1,3,6,7,9,11.  $52 gets you 866.66%
2/ 1,3,6,7,9,11/ 5.  $30 gets you 500%
5/ 2/ 1,3,6,7,9,11.  $18 gets you 300%

Race 7
8/ 1,3,5/ 1,2,3,4,5,6.  $80 gets you 533.33%
3,5/ 8/ 1,2,3,4,5,6.  $20 gets you 200%

Quaddies x 4 $100 Outlay
1,3,5,6,7/ 2,5,7,8,9/ 2/ 8.  $45 gets you 180%
1,3,5,6,7/ 2,5,7,8,9/ 5/ 8.  $20 gets you 80%
1,3,5,6,7/ 2,5,7,8,9/ 2/ 3,5.  $20 gets you 40%
1,3,5,6,7/ 2,5,7,8,9/ 5/ 3,5.  $15 gets you 30%

STAR TRIALLERS

Stormed Out (Race 6 no. 2) $2.00
Talented 4YO resuming from a break tonight off the back of two trial hit outs at Melton in recent weeks, the latest 10 days ago when second to the handy Cut For An Ace and from the beaut draw in a race lacking depth he should get the job done first up.

Adios Gryphon (Race 8 no. 6) $2.30
Wasn’t dangerous in two runs for Glenn Douglas before missing the kick at Melton last time by a considerable distance, tacking on to the bulk of the field with a lap to travel and sprouting wings late between runners to finish an unlucky third to Keeper Of The Fire.  He has since trialled well at Bendigo and will be mighty hard to beat tonight with a faultless display.

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Charlton

THE GAME PLAN for Charlton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

All up
There will be 5 short-priced favourites on today’s card and I think they should all win so I’m going to take them in an all up and hope that everything goes to plan.  By my calculations you should get around $6 back for every $1 you invest, which seems pretty good to me.

Drunken Desire (Race 1 no. 2)          Approximate odds $1.60
Almost El Eagle (Race 2 no. 9)          Approximate odds $1.40
Kurahaupo Quin (Race 4 no. 4)        Approximate odds $1.60
Crusader Acey (Race 5 no. 9)                        Approximate odds $1.30
Lavra Florence (Race 7 no. 7)                       Approximate odds $1.40

Best Trifectas
If you’re not feeling as confident as I am about the above bet then maybe the exotics are your go and I’ve come up with the below trifectas as an alternative.  I’m going to throw $100 at each race for a total spend of $500.

Race 1
2/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,7.  $100 gets you 1111.11%

Race 2
9/ 1,2,3/ 1,2,3,4.  $100  gets you 1111.11%

Race 4
4/ 6/ 2,3,5,7.  $50 gets you 1250%
4/ 2,3,5,7/ 6.  $30 gets you 750%
6/ 4/ 2,3,5,7.  $20 gets you 500%

Race 5
9/ 10/ 1,3,4,5,6.  $20 gets you 400%
9/ 1,3,4,5,6/ 10.  $20 gets you 400%
9/ 1,3,4,5,6,10/ 1,3,4,5,6,10.  $60 gets you 200%

Race 7
7/ 8/ 2,4,5,9.  $50 gets you 1250%
7/ 2,4,5,9/ 8.  $30 gets you 750%
8/ 7/ 2,4,5,9.  $20 gets you 500% 

Quaddies x 4 $100 Outlay
4/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 7.  $50 gets you 1000%
4/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 8.  $25 gets you 500%
6/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 7.  $15 gets you 300%
6/ 9/ 1,6,9,10,13/ 8.  $10 gets you 200%

STAR TRIALLER

Almost El Eagle (Race 2 no. 9) $1.40
Was one of this state’s better 2YO’s last season, winning 4 of his 12 outings and he resumes today off the back of an easy Shepparton trial success two weeks back from behind the strands where he ripped home in 57.7.  He doesn’t strike a strong race first up and unless one of the debutantes is a freak then he should be much too good first up.

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night at Mildura

THE GAME PLAN for Mildura – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Trifectas

Race 1
9/ 1/ 2,3,4,5,6,8,10.  $60 gets you 857.14%
9/ 2,3,4,5,6,8,10/ 1.  $40 gets you 571.42%

Race 2
3/ 1,4,7,11/ 1,2,4,7,9,11.  $70 gets you 350%
1,4,7,11/ 3/ 1,2,4,7,9,11.  $30 gets you 150%

Race 4
5/ 1,8,10/ 1,4,7,8,10.  $70  gets you 583.33%
1,8,10/ 5/ 1,4,7,8,10.  $30 gets you 250%

Race 6
1,8/ 1,8/ 4,9.  $35 gets you 875%
1,8/ 4,9/ 1,8.  $35 gets you 875%
1,8/ 1,8/ 2,5,10.  $15 gets you 250%
1,8/ 2,5,10/ 1,8.  $15 gets you 250%

Race 7
10/ 2,4,5,6,9/ 2,4,5,6,9.  $80 gets you 400%
4,5,6,9/ 10/ 2,4,5,6,9.  $20 gets you 125% 

Quaddies x 4 $100 Outlay
5/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,8/ 10.  $30 gets you 375%
1,8,10/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,8/ 10.  $30 gets you 125%
5/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,8/ 4,5,6,9.  $20 gets you 62.5%
1,8,10/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,8/ 4,5,6,9.  $20 gets you 20.83%

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Cranny

The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Artique (Race 6 no. 1) $1.50
I’m no fan of tipping real shorties as my Best Bet but if this guy doesn’t start at a very silly quote he’s probably worth a wager as it’s almost impossible to see them beating him today. An excellent beginner on his day, he’ll lead from the polemarking draw and from there it would be a major shock to see him get rolled.

Best Value

Pocket Legend (Race 3 no. 1) $4
This is a risky bet as the above horse hasn’t been at his top in recent starts but he is a dead-set leader these days who has run some enormous races for Ross Sugars when able to find the front. From the pole draw the lead will be his here and if he can thieve a quarter then there’s a big chance he’ll stave off major danger THE MIDNIGHT REIGN (7) at pretty handy odds.

Off The Chain (Race 7 no. 7) $4.70
The question marks with this bloke are that he’s first up from a break off some inconclusive trial efforts and he’s switched hands from Michael Stanley to Chris Lang Jnr. In and of themselves, these should not me major obstacles. Lang Jnr is a fine young, horseman and the horse should be fit enough. If he is, I can see him rolling forward at the start and dominating his rivals so in a wide open race he’s the value play for sure.

Money Races

Race 3

As mentioned above, I think this race should be a battle between Pocket Legend (1) and The Midnight Reign (7). Don’t break the bank but play around them in Trifectas as outlined below.

1,7/ 1,7/ 4,5. $40 gets 1000%.
1,7/ 1,7/ 2,3. $10 gets 250%.

Race 6

Artique (1) is almost over the line here and Mister Clooney (3) is the clear second elect. Play around them in all your multiple bets or simply follow my three tricks below.

1/ 3/ 7,10. $30 gets 1500%.
1/ 3/ 2,4,6,11. $10 gets 250%.
1/7,10/ 3. $10 gets 500%.

Quaddie

2,3,4,7,9/ 5,6,11,12/ 1/ 6,7,8,9,10,11. $100 gets 83.33%.



Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ G-troit

Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bet

The Kimura (Race 1 no. 8) $1.80
Talented type who has won 2 of his 5 outings, the latest of those at Maryborough 12 days ago where he had the last shot at the promising Shakti Bromac and got the better of him right on the stick at the end of a 27.9 final quarter.  He has the tricky gate to overcome here, plus he takes on the older horses for the first time, but he doesn’t meet a strong lot and with any luck whatsoever he should be too good.

Best Value Bet

Amazing Kano (Race 4 no. 3) $3.50
Ran home well for third to Latoya Lass at Cranbourne two back and his latest effort behind the smart Johnny Quid on this track 13 days ago was sound all things considered.  He looks well suited tonight as he is a big chance of getting the lead and will take plenty of running down should that scenario play out.  Back him each way on a 1 x 3 basis.

Best Trifectas

Race 2
7/ 6,8/ 1,3,5,6,8,9.  $60 gets you 600%
6,8/ 7/ 1,3,5,6,8,9.  $40 gets you 400%

Race 5
1/ 2,8,11/ 2,4,5,8,9,10,11.  $70 gets you 388.88%
2,8,11/ 1/ 2,4,5,8,9,10,11.  $30 gets you 166.66%

Race 7
9,11/ 9,11/ 1,2,4,5,6,8.  $70  gets you 583.33%
9,11/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 9,11.  $30 gets you 250%  

Quaddies x 2 $100 Outlay
2,3,6,7,8/ 1/ 1,4,7,8,11,13/ 9,11.  $50 gets you 83.33%
2,3,6,7,8/ 2,8,11/ 1,4,7,8,11,13/ 9,11.  $50 gets you 27.77%

Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Tyler Bromac (Race 7 no. 11) $2.50
This guy went ahead in leaps and bounds last preparation and while he wasn’t at his best first-up and he does meet the very talented Illawong Sister Styx (9) I can just see him having one shot and being a bit too good. It is a two-horse race however so check out my Money Race strategy so we get something out of the race even if he doesn’t jag the prize.

Best Value

Rowillie (Race 1 no. 5) $6
I have no illusions that this guy is any star but with hot favourite The Kimura (8) drawn inside the back row I think he can spear straight to the front and prove extremely difficult to beat. His recent form is very solid for a race of this nature and if the $6 holds up, he’s an Each Way special for mine.

Funny Car ((Race 4 no. 7) $4.50
I have always had an opinion of this guy and followed his career pretty closely as a consequence. He is racing very well this campaign without much luck and while his get-back style can be tough to follow I think with a bit of early heat on here Nathan Jack can unleash him at the 800m mark and mow this lot down tonight. I marked him $2.80 so anything better than that is value for mine.

Best Roughie

Bohemian Lombo (Race 5 no. 10) $21
Normally, I would only advise you to back the Bes Roughie for a place but I honestly think this guy can win with a few breaks in transit. At his best, he is an early leader or natural enforcer from the breeze and with heaps of early speed off the front line here he may be able to follow them early then bully his opponents over the ideal short trip tonight.

Money Races

Race 2
I’ve got a pretty simple philosophy here. I just think the three class runners will fight out the Trifecta and if one of them lets us down we’ll have a little saver on the side. The wager is unlikely to make you rich but it should yield some sort of result.

6,7,8 Boxed Trifecta. $30 gets 500%.
6,7,8/ 6,7,8/ 1,3,5,9. $20 gets 83.33%.

Race 7

As mentioned above, I think Tyler Bromac (11) & Illawong Sister Styx (9) are almost a monty to fight this out and even if they don’t only a couple here can split them. I’m taking three staggered Trifectas as outlined below.

9,11/ 9,11/ 4,7,8. $60 gets 500%.
9,11/ 9,11/ 1,2,5,6. $24 gets 200%.
9,11/ 4,8/ 9,11. $16 gets 400%.


Monday, February 18, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Stawell


The Game Plan for Stawell – with Jason Bonnington

Best Bets

Powerbolt (Race 3 no. 2) $2
Put plainly, this is a very weak race and given this guy looks a massive chance of bullying his way to the top and running along over the short-course on a leader-dominated track – I’m keen to be on. When assessing this guide he really stood out as a great betting proposition and he’ll also feature in one of the Money Races below.

Ben Cartwright (Race 6 no. 11) $2.50
This guy has always had ability and he has really jumped out of the ground in recent starts. Stawell is not always kind to favourites drawn poorly in PBD events but class should really prevail here and if you’re getting better than flip-of-the-coin odds then he is well worth a straight out lash.

Money Races

Race 3
As outlined above, I’d be pretty surprised if Powerbolt (2) didn’t run in the top two here and I’m more than happy to base Trifectas around that fact as shown below.

2/ 8,9,11/ 1,3,8,9,10,11. $35 gets 233.33%.
8,9,11/ 2/ 1,3,8,9,10,11. $15 gets 100%.

Race 7
This looks a super betting race as there are three main chances that should fight out the finish. You can have all sorts of multiples around then but I’m just playing two Trifectas.

4,5,9 Boxed. $60 gets 1000%.
4,5,9/ 4,5,9/ 2,3 $40 gets 333.33%.

Quaddies (x4)

2,10/ 6/ 11/ 4,5,9. $30 gets 500%.
2,10/ 6/ 1,2,5,8,9/ 4,5,9. $15 gets 100%.
2,10/ 1,2,4,8/ 11/ 4,5,9. $48 gets 200%.
2,10/ 1,2,4,8/ 1,2,5,8,9/ 4,5,9. $7 gets 5.83%.

Sunday, February 17, 2013

Good Form Preview - Sunday Session at Shepparton

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Trifecta Fest
I found tonight’s meeting a very challenging one with a number of even races and question marks on a few runners so I think the best way to attack the program is by taking some trifectas throughout the night and hope the for the right results so we end up in the black.  Below is a list of the bets with a $50 spend on each race.  Good luck!

Race 1
Boxed 1,3,5.  $18 gets you 300%
1,3,5/ 1,3,5/ 2,4,8,9,11,12.  $32 gets you 88.88%

Race 2
Boxed 5,6,10,12.  $24 gets you 100%
5,6,10,12/ 5,6,10,12/ 1,3,4,7,8,9.  $26 gets you 36.11%

Race 3
3,6,12/ 3,5,6,7,9,11,12/ 3,5,6,7,9,11,12.  $50 gets you 55.55%

Race 4
2/ 1,5,6,8,10/ 1,5,6,8,10.  $35 gets you 175%
1,5,6,8,10/ 2/ 1,5,6,8,10.  $15 gets you 75%

Race 5
Boxed 3,5,10,11.  $24 gets you 100%
3,5,10,11/ 3,5,10,11/ 1,6,8,9.  $26 gets you 54.16%

Race 6
Boxed 1,6,8,12.  $24 gets you 100%
1,6,8,12/ 1,6,8,12/ 5,9,10,11.  $26 gets you 54.16%

Race 7
1,4/ 1,4/ 7,9,10,11,12.  $30 gets you 300%
1,4/ 7,9,10,11,12/ 1,4.  $20 gets you 200%

Race 8
Boxed 2,5,11.  $18 gets you 300%
2,5,11/ 2,5,11/ 1,3,4,6,7,8,9.  $32 gets you 76.19%

Race 9
5,6,7/ 4,5,6,7,8/ 4,5,6,7,8,10,12.  $50 gets you 83.33%

Quaddie
1,2,5,6,8,10/ 3,5,10,11/ 1,6,8,12/ 1,4.  $100 gets you 52.08%