Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Echuca

The Game Plan for Echuca – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

As we’ve mentioned many times in the past, Echuca is a tight-turning circuit which plays very heavily toward horses up on the speed – preferably leading – and racing on the pegs. Having said that it isn’t easy to find too many dead-set leaders here tonight so we’re going to put most of our eggs in one basket called Race 5 where I reckon the speed map is pretty well established while also targeting a Best Value bet along with some pretty wide old Quads.

Best Bet

The Numbers Man (Race 5 no. 2) $3.20 ($50 Win)
As outlined above, Echuca is something of a leader’s paradise and given this bloke looks a 90% chance of finding the front and arrives here off the back of a more than creditable performance when leading until the shadows of the post in a 1:57.4 mile rate, I think he’ll be almost impossible to beat. Also in his favour is the 1755m trip and lack of a genuine enforcer to make him work too hard.

Best Value

Whatacracker $4.40 ($25 Each Way)
This bloke ran his best race for some time when flashing home for third behind Charlotte Two and The Numbers Man at Cobram last time out. He is a brilliant beginner at his best that will have the option of leading or taking a trail from the draw and when you factor in his excellent record @ Echuca (13-3-6-2) and the fact Chris Alford will be doing the steering he looks a clear top tip.

The Money Race – Race 5

We’ve already discussed the fact that The Numbers Man (2) should be both leading and winning here and if the preferred speed map scenario plays out then Saint Liliana (1) should hold his back and run a drum for sure. There’s risk involved here but if we carve it up a few ways I think we’ll get the prize.

2/ 1/ 7. $25 gets 2500%

2/ 1/ 3,10,11. $30 gets 1000%
2/ 1/ 4,6,8. $15 gets 500%
2/ 7/ 1. $10 gets 1000%
2/ 3,10,11/ 1. $15 gets 500%
2/ 4,6,8/ 1. $5 gets 166.67%

Quaddies

1,2,5,6,7,8,9/ 2/ 5,6/ 1. $14 gets 100%
1,2,5,6,7,8,9/ 2/ 1,8,9,10/ 1. $14 gets 50%
1,2,5,6,7,8,9/ 2/ 5,6/ 3,5,8,9,10,11. $42 gets 50%
1,2,5,6,7,8,9/ 2/ 1,8,9,10/ 3,5,8,9,10,11. $30 gets 17.86%