Good Form Preview - Monday @ Charlton

The Game Plan for Charlton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s a typically tough Monday afternoon card @ Charlton today w/ mostly lower grade horses plying their trade but top-class Melton trainer Adam Kelly may be the key to our day. In race five, Kelly will prepare the pretty talented but much maligned 4YO, Doomed, while in race six he’ll have the even more talented Sapphire Swayze returning from a spell. Put simply, Doomed should start at short odds for his third start in succession and for the third straight time I think he can get rolled while Sapphire Swayze should just win his race and anchor Trifectas & Quads for us in the process.

Best Value ($25 Each Way on all)

Smokinoff (Race 5 no. 1) $7.50

As mentioned above, Doomed (8) is likely to start at a short price in this race and I’m more than happy to back the above pacer if he does. Smokinoff (1) actually possesses reasonable gate speed on his day, will have options from the draw, is improving w/ every run this time in and seems to thrive at Charlton where he’s been placed in all of his three runs at the track. It’s a compelling case and enough to tempt me in on an Each Way basis.

Dam Lucky (Race 5 no. 4) $7

This guy was very disappointing first-up from a spell where he pulled hard and never got into the race @ Hamilton but he comes into barrier three w/ the scratching of Benhar Brat and looks the most likely runner to relieve Smokinoff (1) of the early lead. Much like Smokinoff (1) he is not as talented as race favourite Doomed (8) but the circumstances suit & so does the price so get involved w/ him as well on an Each Way basis.

Miss Elvira (Race 8 no. 2) $4.20

This mare is yet to break through from 13 starts to date but she has landed 5 placings in that time and if she’s going to taste glory then today looks her day. Not only does she draw to use her sometimes stunning gate speed to find and hold the lead from barrier two but she is a short course specialist who has paced four sub-1:58 mile rates in her short career to date and should be suited by both the track and opposition today.

The Money Race – Race 7

The philosophy here is pretty simple; there is plenty of speed off the front line but I expect flying beginner Kensington Palace (3) to find the front with Ruby Slippers (1) in behind her early. Hot pop Sapphire Swayze (6) should either work forward in search of the lead or sit quietly in the breeze before overwhelming his rivals in the lane. If he finds the front then our main Trifecta looks a moral – if not then the saver should get us home.

6/ 1,3/ 1,3. $25 gets 1250%

6/ 1,3/ 2,4,8,11. $25 gets 312.5%

Quaddies (x2)

6/ 1,4,8/ 2,4,6,8,9/ 6. $45 gets 250%

3,5/ 1,4,8/ 2,4,6,8,9/ 6. $45 gets 150%
6/ 6,11/ 2,4,6,8,9/ 6. $5 gets 50%
3,5/ 6,11/ 2,4,6,8,9/ 6. $5 gets 25%