Good Form Preview - Breeders Crown Heat Night @ Ballarat

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bets/ All-Up
I’m suggesting you take a Formula 3 for $30 here which will cost you $90. To be honest, all of these should be winning but there have been an alarming number of shorties getting rolled of late, so I’m a little gun-shy. If you’re not, just have an All-Up and hope everything goes to plan!

Getya Wings Out (Race 3 no. 8) $2.40

She is awkwardly drawn tonight nut even so, she’s a class above almost all of her rivals here and given she never runs a bad race I think she’ll pop off the inside pretty early on and display her dominance over the final 400m.

Im Smouldering (Race 4 no. 6) $1.60

This would have been a great contest had Gypsy Babe (8) drawn better but the way the cards have fallen she should bully her way to the front and beat these with something in hand.

Burra Sullivan (Race 5 no. 6) $2.40

The only question mark with this bloke is that he’s first up from a break because if he’s anywhere near his best he’ll just keep going forward and they won’t see which way he went.

Annacondar (Race 9 no. 7) $1.60

This guy is unbeaten from three starts and just keeps getting better every time he goes around. I don’t think we’ll be getting $1.60 but if we do just load up and walk away with the loot.

The Breeders Crown-based Money Races

Race 1
The theory is simple here. Courageousnquick (4), Our Femme Fatale (5) and Jewel Castle (9) are just better than their rivals and should fight the finish out between them.

4,5,9 Boxed. $18 gets 300%

4,5,9/ 4,5,9/ 1,3,7,8. $32 gets 133.33%

Race 3

As mentioned above, Getya Wings Out (8) has the awful draw but she is a wonderfully consistent filly and the only way she gets beaten is if Lierre Noir (7) lives up to her very good potential.

8/ 7/ 1,2,4,5,6. $30 gets 500%

8/ 1,2,4,5,6/ 7. $10 gets 200%
7/ 8/ 1,2,4,5,6. $10 gets 200%

Race 4

Im Smouldering (6) won the battle of the barrier draws and should win the race as well. Gypsy Babe (8) and the underrated Magic Moment Lombo (5) look like fighting out second place.

6/ 5,8/ 1,5,8,10/ 1,3,4,5,8,9,10. $50 gets 166.67%

Race 8
Glenferrie Shuffle (8) is both mercurial & poorly drawn but she is all class on her day and should be winning this with even luck. They’re an even lot outside her though so play pretty wide in exotics.

8/ 1,4/ 1,3,4,6. $24 gets 400%

8/ 3,6/ 1,3,4,6. $12 gets 200%
8/ 1,4/ 2,7,9. $12 gets 200%
8/ 3,6/ 2,7,9. $2 gets 33.33%

Quaddies (x2)

6/ 6/ 5,9,10/ 1,2,3,4,7,8,9. $58 gets 276.19%
6/ 6/ 3,7,8,11,12,13/ 1,2,3,4,7,8,9. $42 gets 100%