Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Tonight, Ballarat will host some of the southern hemisphere’s most talented juvenile pacers as they bid to qualify for a return visit to Bray Raceway for the Breeders Crown semi-finals on August 10. From a punting perspective it’s an interesting card where our best chance for glory looks likely to come by attacking one Best Bet at black figure odds plus three roughies and a quartet of quads where Our Sky Major will have to win if we’re to be successful.

Best Bet

Reign Of Pain (Race 7 no. 10) $2.60 ($50 Win)
This guy went unbelievably well through the Vicbred Super Series where he ultimately finished 2.2m third behind Guaranteed and Border Control in the $100,000 final after enjoying a cosy trip in transit. He was beaten but not disgraced last time out and in this sort of field he should be able to come three wide solo with 800m to go and still run past these with any luck at all.

Best Roughies

Master Mach Manus (Race 4 no. 3) $12 ($25 Each Way)
Psychologically, this bloke is a long way off where he needs to be if he’s going to make a Group 1 horse but he is brimming with talent and given the fact I’ve got big question marks over the NSW form following a couple of below par performances last week, I reckon this bloke can either bully his way to the front mid-race or come with one searching run and still prove tough to beat at the very juicy quote.

Claire Jasper (Race 5 no. 6) $13 ($10 x $40)

In an incredibly even race this mare has several things clearly in her favour. Number one is that she’ll be driven by legendary reinsman, Chris Alford, who is a master at getting them away from the stand, number two is that she handles the track having placed in three of six starts here, and number three is that she’s placed at each of her past three runs from the strands. That’s good enough for me to have something the win and plenty the place at the odds.

Lombo Flashlight (Race 5 no. 11) $11 ($10 x $40)

At his best, this bloke was placed in The Graduate behind Caribbean Blaster and Night Of The Stars and even now he boasts the best form in the race with close-up efforts of late behind Echeveria and Astronaut. The 20m is an obstacle but it’s largely offset by the fact almost all the field are off some sort of handicap in this comparatively small standing-start field.

Quaddies (x4)

2,3/ 4,6,8,9,11/ 2/ 10. $51 gets 510%
2,3/ 4,6,8,9,11/ 2/  3,6,7,8,12. $25 gets 50%
4,5,8/ 4,6,8,9,11/ 2/ 10. $15 gets 100%
4,5,8/ 4,6,8,9,11/ 2/ 3,6,7,8,11,12. $9 gets 10%

Black Booker (Racing Tonight)

Quick Draft (Race 3 no. 3) $1.50
The odds today tell the story but she was outstanding last start when sitting parked outside Mindarie Priddy and still reeling off the fastest last half (57.65) and quarter (27.39) of any filly in wither 2YO heat at Shepparton 10 days back. She’s the horse to beat t5onight and more than a smoky of taking out the Breeders Crown final on August 18. Click here to see her most recent run.

Sectionals
To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 2YO fillies run at Shepparton on Saturday July 20, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 2YO colts and geldings run at Bendigo on Tuesday July 23, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 3YO colts and geldings run at Kilmore on Thursday July 25, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 3YO fillies run at Ballarat on Wednesday July 24, simply click here.