Monday, July 22, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Stawell

The Game Plan for Stawell – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
The highlight of today’s programme will be The Maori Legend where rising superstar Im Stately will take on talented Kiwis Dieu De Lamour and Bad Habbott amongst others but from a punting perspective I reckon there’s one Best bet which should start at black figures plus a couple of Money Races and some Quads that we should focus our attention upon.

Best Bet
Cheesy Grin (Race 7 no. 10) $2.50
There are a few that will start shorter then this bloke today but I’m sick of horses at red figure odds getting rolled over the past week or so I’m happy to make this guy my Best Bet of the day. The main reasons why I’m so keen is that he has been awesome in all three runs this campaign, and that includes his last start defeat at Tabcorp Park, he’s versatile enough to overcome the shonky draw and having twice won at Mt Gambier, he’ll handle Stawell’s tight turning track.

The Money Races
Race 3
Those who have backed Mumma Mia Lombo (2) at short odds in her two runs so far this campaign will be very wary but if she finds the front as expected here then she gets yet another chance to break through on a track that should suit her style of racing down to the ground. If she gets held out early we’re in strife but if things pan out to plan, one of the two Tricks below should be winning.

2/ 1,8,9,11/ 1,8,9,11. $40 gets 333.33%
1,8,9,11/ 2/ 1,8,9,11. $10 gets 83.33%

Race 7
As mentioned above, I’ve got a pretty big opinion of Cheesy Grin (10) and wasn’t the least bit disappointed by his first failure this prep at Melton last time out where they ripped home in 55.8 while he was wide out on the track. I think he’ll prove too strong here and if he doesn’t quite get the job down he’ll be finishing second at worst so take the Trifectas below and we should be getting a result.

10/ 1,8,9,11/ 1,4,7,8,9,11. $40 gets 200%
1,8,9,11/ 10/ 1,4,7,8,9,11. $10 gets 50%

Quaddies (x2)
2,4,5,11/ 2,3,6,7,8,9/ 8/ 10. $48 gets 200%
2,4,5,11/ 2,3,6,7,8,9/ 8/ 1,8,9,11. $52 gets 54.17%

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