Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Ararat

The Game Plan for Ararat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
To be deadly honest, this is a very difficult meeting on which to find winners with moderate races, and moderate horses, the order of the night, but even having said that I think if we hand pick a few little bets and have a genuine crack at the Quad (which looks the best way to make some folding all night) I think we can still end up in front.

Best Bets
Wealthy Warrior (Race 2 no. 5) $3 ($25 Win)
I’ve already mentioned the fields aren’t overly strong tonight and tis bottom-up C1 is a great example of that fact, but the above pacer just seems to be going a little bit better than his rivals and the combination of his front line draw and the engagement of gun reinsman Daryl Douglas should be enough to see him get the prize.

Barkers Hall (Race 4 no. 4) $2.40 ($25 Win)
This guy thrives under very situation specific scenarios which normally include a front line draw, the short course trip and a lack of obvious pressure once he finds the front. He only gets the front line draw here but to offset the other factors he returns to Ararat where he is unbeaten from three starts and given he should spear straight to the top and just keep running from there I get the feeling he’ll be very hard to beat.

Best Value
Bronco Apache (Race 3 no. 3) $8.50 ($10 x $15)
This bloke was backed as though virtually unbeatable in what looked a very weak from race at Bendigo Saturday night on the back of a handy trial effort and even though he didn’t get the prize there, he went well enough to suggest that he can measure up here with that run under his belt. There are dangers however so back him Each Way if you’re getting a decent price.

Best Roughie
Bubble Art (Race 7 no. 6) $14 ($5 x $20)
This guy is certainly better suited to stand start races where he can lead early, take a trail and take full advantage of an ice cold trip but he’s going well enough right now that if there’s genuine speed throughout as expected, he can finish into minor money at least.

The Money Race – Race 7
5,6,8,9 Boxed Trifecta. $50 gets 216.67%

3,4/ 3,5,7,9,10/ 4,9,10,11/ 5,6,8,9. $100 gets 62.50%

Black Booker
Exotic Guy (Race 1 no. 3) $4
This bloke was kept safe in betting and never got a genuine crack at his rivals in a stronger race than this one at Yarra Valley on debut. The exposed form here isn’t strong and if you’re getting $4 then he’s well worth another chance. Click here to view his luckless debut effort.

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