Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Good Form Preview - Hump Day @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It seems weird at the minute to have an entire day/night bereft of Breeders Crown action but I’m hoping it won’t stop us making some coin on the punt. One big advantage in the return to normal transmission is that there’ll be very few red figure favourites and my plan for the day is to target just one Best Bet along with for Value/Roughie propositions and the Quad.

Best Bet

Hilltop Hustler (Race 5 no. 7) $2.20 ($50 Win)
I have to admit to getting it completely wrong when I tipped Annacondar to beat this bloke last start at Ballarat because he was unbelievably arrogant defeating my top tip (who was previously undefeated) by 32m and subsequent winner Another Elsu by almost 20m. You won’t get $2.20 but even if you’re getting $1.50 you can smash him mercilessly as I can’t see how he could possibly lose.

Best Value/ Roughies

Allawart Ugo (Race 3 no 10) $9 ($10 x $40)
This guy never runs a bad race, has a great record at this course (10: 3-3-0) and generally thrives from the strands so get on board today if the price is right.

Narra Operative (Race 4 no. 8) $11 ($25 Each Way)
This is a deep and even race where plenty can win but when it comes to real-deal Metropolitan form the others here can’t live with this bloke. The draw is a little awkward but if you’re getting anything like the price marked in today’s Herald Sun then get on board.

Indulgent (Race 7 no. 9) $8 ($25 Each Way)
Put simply, this bloke absolutely should have won his last start at Ballarat when he seemingly tripped over his own feet just as he was about to explode through a gap. Two runs prior to that he sat parked and just went under in a 1:55 mile at Maryborough and given there should be some fireworks at the start here I think he’s a wonderful Each way proposition.

Lombo Krista Bella ( Race 8 no. 3) $11 ($10 x $40)
This filly will have to contend with interesting Kiwi Galleons Warrior but I think she has superior form to all of her Aussie rivals and she too looks a super Each Way option at the juicy quote.

Quaddies

1,3,4,5,6,7,8/ 7/ 1,11/ 3,5,7,9,11. $86 gets 122.86%

1,3,4,5,6,7,8/ 7/ 2,3,7,9/ 3,5,7,9,11. $14 gets 10%

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