Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Ballarat

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
This is one tough meeting. If you like betting on competitive cards where there’s plenty of value to be had then tonight’s Ballarat programme should be right up your alley, but we will need some favours to come away on top. I’ve found three horses who are all at some sort of price in today’s Herald sun that I’m happy to have small lashes at along w/ 1 Best Roughie, 1 Money Race & some pretty aggressive Quads.

Best Value
Call Me Bond (Race 4 no. 4) $5.50 ($20 Win)
This race is small on numbers but big on quality and even though almost every runner can win I think there’s an element of class and versatility about the above pacer that makes him the testing material tonight. Put simply, he can win from in front or behind and should be close enough to get the job done with some luck.

The Bohemian (Race 5 no. 10) $7 ($15 Each Way)
This bloke was a 3YO superstar and Vic Trotters Derby winner & he seems to have returned in some great form this campaign. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to win short-course stand starts off handicaps but 20m isn’t a deal-breaker for this guy and if he’s at his bets I think he’ll run a drum at least.

Three Gold Bars (Race 7 no. 1) $5.50 ($15 Each Way)
I’ve always had a little bit of time for this mare and given she returns with the ideal draw and should be leading or trailing in transit I think she’s a massive chance of coming back with a first-up success.

Best Roughie ($5 x $15)
It Is Ike (Race 1 no. 2) $15
This bloke is no star but he just copped a bit too much pressure in front last time out and if he finds the front again and gets a breather over the slightly longer 200m trip I think he can give them something to catch in this.

The Money Race – Race 8
No matter which way you look at this race Rumbustious (6) is the horse they have to beat. A pretty talented trotter he can roll forward early or come with one run and still prove too good while many of his rivals from his past two starts look likely to fill the holes behind him, headed by the talented but awkwardly drawn Hackashaq (8).

6/ 2,8,9,10,11/ 2,8,9,10,11. $40 gets 200%
2,8,9,10,11/ 6/ 2,8,9,10,11. $10 gets 50%

The Quads (x3)
4/ 1,3,4,6,9,10,11/ 4/ 1,2,5. $26.50 gets 126.19%
4/ 1,3,4,6,9,10,11/ 5,6,7/ 1,2,5. $31.50 gets 50%
2,5,6,7/ 1,3,4,6,9,10,11/4/ 1,2,5. $42 gets 50%

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