Thursday, February 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Ararat

The Game Plan for Ararat – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bet ($40 win)
Our Uptown Girl (Race 5 No.8) $3
This girls run on Terang Cup night had to be seen to be believed. She worked to the breeze when they ran very quick early sections and then she simply out toughed them in the lane. Her form prior to that was consistent but she looks to have gone to a new level and given she is the only horse drawn the second row, if there is a lack of speed early, look for her to take off and put herself in the race. I’d be surprised if we get the $3 in today’s Herald Sun but that said, she should be winning again tonight.

Best Roughie ($5 win x $20 place)
Sunnyandcher (Race 2 No.12) $11
There is no avoiding the fact that RUMBUSTIOUS (5) is in terrific form and HACKASHAQ (4) was dominant last time but we are looking for value here and we might have found it with SUNNYANDCHER (12) she has been competing admirably in better races than this and even from the 30-metre mark, she can easily work her way into the race and at least fill a hole, if not win given the right breaks.

The Money Race ($50 flexi trifectas)
Race 4
From a punting point of view this looks an outstanding race to have a lash at. OURCROWNINN (2) is first up without a trial but is terribly consistent and his form last preparation, albeit in similar grade, has stood up pretty well and should hold him in good stead for tonight. There are two clear dangers in the enigmatic BOYZ TORQUE (4) and ELECTRIC OLLIE (6) however VALENTINO RUSTLER (3) could cos a boilover at his best and must be respected in saver trifecta’s.

2/4,6/4,6 $30 gets 1500%
2/4,6/3. $10 gets 500%
2/3/4,6. $10 gets 500%

Quaddies (x4)
2/8/2,6/6,9. $20 gets 500%
2/8/3,4,5,8,9,11/6,9. $18 gets 150%
2/1,2,4/2,6/6,9. $12 gets 100%
2/1,2,4/3,4,5,8,9,11/6,9. $12 gets 33.33%
4,6/8/2,6/6,9. $12 gets 125%
4,6/8/3,4,5,8,9,11/6,9. $12 gets 50%
4,6/1,2,4/2,6/6,9. $12 gets 50%
4,6/1,2,4/3,4,5,8,9,11/6,9. $12 gets 16.66%

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