Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Shepparton

The Game Plan for Shepparton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
I normally love punting at Shepparton but I must admit this is a tricky card on which to find winners. Having said that, I think we can attack the programme by playing for value while also targeting two Money Races, loading up on the first event and attacking the Quads for different ways.

Best Bet ($50 Win)

Gowan Brae (Race 1 no. 1) $2.10
This guy has always had a pretty big boom on him from the Gath camp and after trialling impressively behind the all-0conquering Yankee Rockstar at Melton recently he should lead and win here with consummate ease.

Best Value ($20 Each Way)

Barriettas Bliss (Race 2 no. 10) $7.50
This mare was returning from a long break and off some pretty encouraging trials when flashing home late behind Clancys Fobwatch last time out. She meets some very average beasts here and is well worth an Each way wager at the handy odds.

Just Call Me Earl (Race 6 no. 11) $8

He has always had a fair deal of ability and really seems to be thriving this campaign. I do concede Kyvalley Racer & Jingling Silver serious winning hopes but he is my clear top tip and if he starts anywhere near $8 you have to get on board.

Best Roughie ($10 x $20)

Wolfpack (Race 5 no. 10) $11
I’d be the first to admit this bloke has been frustrating to follow and he was very ordinary last time out but this is a pretty moderate race and if he can find his very best form he is the one to beat. Don’t jump into him at any short odds but if he’s paying something decent then have a little lash.

The Money Races

Race 1 (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
As mentioned above, I think Gowan Brae (1) will lead and win here and if Courageous Emm (8) can kick through to hold his back she should fill a hole. Beyond those two we’re looking for value from one of the race’s untapped runners.

1/ 8/ 2,4,6,7,10,13. $30 gets 500%

1/ 2,4,6,7,10,13/ 8. $20 gets 333.33%

Race 3 (Flexi First 4’s for $50)

Aloha Don Ho (11) is my clear on-top selection here but I suspect he’ll either win comfortably or not do much at all. Tuxedo Toff (9) has been trialling well and looks the other key winning hope along with Lets Go Rabbitoh (10) whose an honest campaigner and comes from the right camp to win.

11/ 7,9,10/ 7,9,10/ 5,7,8,9,10. $26 gets 144.44%

9,10/ 7,9,10,11/ 7,9,10,11/ 5,7,8,9,10,11. $24 gets 50%

Quaddies (x4)

7,8/ 7,10/ 3,11,12/ 4,6. $24 gets 100%
7,8/ 7,10/ 3,11,12/ 2,3,5,7. $24 gets 50%
7,8/ 3,4,6,8,11/ 3,11,12/ 4,6. $30 gets 50%
1,3,9,10/ 7,10/ 3,11,12/ 4,6. $24 gets 50%

The Game Plan for Shepparton with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).

Money Races

Race 3 Flexi First 4’s ($50)
11/ 7,9,10/ 7,9,10/ Field $25 gets 69.44%
7,9,10/ 11/ 7,9,10/ Field $20 gets 55.56%
7,9,10/ 7,9,10/ 7,9,10/ 11 $5 gets 83.33%

Race 4 Flexi First 4’s ($50)

7,9/ 7,9/ 1,8,10/ 1,4,8,10 $15 gets 83.33%
7,9/ 1,8,10/ 7,9/ 1,4,8,10 $15 gets 83.33%
7,9/ 1,8,10/ 1,8,10/ 7,9 $10 gets 83.33%
7,9/ 1,8,10/ 1,8,10/ 1,4,8,10 $10 gets 41.66%

Race 6 Flexi Trifectas ($50)

12/ 3,4,11,13/ 3,4,11,13 $30 gets 250%
3,4,11,13/ 12/ 3,4,11,13 $20 gets 166.66%

Quads (x2)

7,9/ 3,4,6,7,11/ 3,4,12,13/ 2,4,5,6 $80 gets 50%
8/ 3,4,6,7,11/ 3,4,12,13/ 2,4,5,6 $20 gets 25%

TAB.COM.AU HITS & MEMORIES

MOVE OF THE WEEK:

Albion Park November 16: Heza Prince $4.50 into  $1.60 (1^st)

($500 @ $4.50; $800 @ $3.20; $1000 @ $1.90)

WHERE THERE’S SMOKE THERE’S FIRE:

Globe Derby November 11: Grinera $3 into $1.30 (1^st);

Canberra November 11: Grey Nomad $51 into $12 (1^st);

Northam November 12: Our Mandingo $3.50 into $1.60 (1^st);

Cranbourne November 14: Tess Finnegan $61 into $21 (1^st);

Dubbo November 16: Reign Blue Chip $6.50 into $2.10 (1^st).

LEFT IT IN THE BAG:

Globe Derby November 11: Prominent Art $26 into $7 (unplaced);

Terang November 12: Extricate $9 into $3.60 (3^rd);

Bathurst November 13: Sunnybrae $10 into $3.50 (unplaced);

Dubbo November 16: Essayist $6.50 into $2.25 (unplaced);

Bunbury November 16: Millwoods Delight $7.50 into $2 (unplaced).

HITS:

Addington November 12: Terror To Love $4000 at $2.50 ($6000+ return);

Addington November 12: Tiger Tara $2000 at $3.60 ($5200+);

Penrith November 14: Our Els Dream $2250 at $2.80 ($4050+);

Canberra November 11: Gundary Gem $100 at $41 ($4000+);

Northam November 12: Soho Indianapolis $400 at $10 ($3600+).

MISSES:

St Arnaud November 10: Bobby Fabulous $7000 at $1.80;

Bathurst November 13: El Mega $5000 at $1.45;

Menangle November 16: Yayas Hot Spot $5000 at $1.40;

Globe Derby November 16: Rubon Brown $4000 at $2.10;

Menangle November 16: For A Reason  $4000 at $2.10.

PRE-POST THIS WEEK:

November 22: Pak’N Save Franklin Cup $40,000 Franklin (NZ) G2;

November 22: McInerney Classic $125,000 Gloucester Park (WA) G1;

November 22: Norms Daughter Classic $40,000 Gloucester Park (WA) G3;

November 23: Cordina Sprint $100,000 Tabcorp Park Menangle (NSW G1.