Saturday, November 23, 2013

Good Form Preview - Saturday Night @ Beckley Park

The Game Plan for Geelong – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Tonight’s Beckley Park programme is somewhat unusual in that one-third of the races appear to have absolutely clear-cut winners and the rest of the card is full of deep, even, very difficult races to read. Having said that, I’m going to play pretty conservatively with a skinny All-Up, 1 Money Race and 2 Quads but much of our night will rest with Our Burning Desire because if she wins we should almost certainly snare a handy profit and if she loses we are sunk!

Best Bets/All-Up ($100)
Im Anonymiss (Race 3 no. 7) $1.50

Flew straight to the lead and never looked like losing first-up in Oz and even from the wide draw here she should spear immediately to the top once more and that should be the end of the race as a contest.

Our Burning Desire (Race 5 no. 7) $1.90
This mare sat parked then only went into overdrive after locking wheels in the lane. She’s even better drawn here than she was last week so expect her to roll forward at some stage to find the lead or the breeze and prove a class above from either role tonight.

Glenferrie EJ (Race 8 no. 3) $1.30
This mare split Musical Delight and Our Femme Fatale as a two-year-old and has always had a massive boom on her so this race barely represents an obstacle this evening.

The Money Race – Race 5 (Flexi First 4 for $100)
As mentioned above, I think Our Burning Desire (7) is close to a moral here. If she finds the lead, it could turn into a peg-dominated affair, which would probably be most valuable for us, but even if it doesn’t I think we’ll still end up on top.

7/ 1,3,8,10/ 1,3,5,8,10/ 1,2,3,5,6,8,9,10,13. $100 gets 89.29%

The Quad
1/ 7/ 3,4,7/ 1,2,5,10. $30 gets 250%
2,3,5,6,7,8/ 7/ 3,4,7/ 1,2,5,10. $70 gets 97.22%

Star Trialler

Loveyougoodboy (Race 1 no. 11) $2.20

This guy has plenty of ability and has been trialling the house down at Maryborugh with four recent wins from as many runs, including a last start success over Aleppo Midas where they finished off in 58.9. The 30m backmark is an obstacle but he's earned it here and does look like the one they have to roll.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.