Monday, November 25, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
What a sensational way to start another week on the punt! After putting an extra $300 or so in the kick following a profitable Good Form weekend I am well and truly ready to sink my teeth into this card today. In total I’ve found two almost-good-things that I’m using to anchor a pair of Monet Races while I’ve also located 1 Best Bet at a price, 1 Best Value Bet, 2 Roughies and a quartet of fairly healthy Quads.

Best Bet ($25 Win)
Gee Mae (Race 2 no. 1) $4
There are a few question marks over this mare given she’s first-up from a lengthy break and no longer has the services of gun mentor Larry Eastman, but at her best she would lead this lot around and beat them pretty comfortably so without breaking the bank she’s worth a little straight out crack if the price is right.

Best Value ($15 x $10)
Mightbeme (Race 5 no. 7) $7
This mare didn’t finish off her first preparation in great style but her first couple of runs were very good and with Matthew Craven in the cart I can just see her rushing forward, putting the foot down and proving very hard to catch in what really is a fairly moderate field.

Best Roughies
Ruffiano (Race 6 no. 5) $12 ($10 x $40)
I’m pretty keen here. Not that he’ll necessarily win, because Suerte (6) arrives here with some strong credentials from New Zealand, but I do think he’ll be first to the pegs and if Ellen Tormey is happy to hand-up in transit I think he’ll almost certainly finish on the podium at handy odds the drum.

Dillon Daphne (Race 7 no. 1) $15 ($25 Place)
This mare should also have the benefit of a sweet behind-the-leader trip if Our Mischievious Miss (2) leads them around as expected and while she’s first-up from a break into a pretty handy race she is worth a wager straight out for the place.

The Money Race - Race 4 (Flexi Trifecta & First 4 for $75 total)
Jackabeems (2) may have a little battle to hold the early lead here but if he does keep the front I cannot see them running him down. In terms of those capable of running second Additallup (4) and Mayorofshinetown (5) look to have that honour between them while there are a few engaged unlikely to finish third or even fourth.

2/ 4,5/ 1,4,5,8. $40 gets 666.67%
2/ 4,5/ 1,4,5,8/ 1,4,5,7,8,9. $35 gets 145.83%

The Quads (x4)
2/ 1,2,3,7,8/ 6/ 2,5,7. $45 gets 300%
2/ 1,2,3,7,8/ 5,9/ 2,5,7. $45 gets 150%
2/ 1,2,3,7,8/ 6/ 1,6. $5 gets 50%
2/ 1,2,3,7,8/ 5,9/ 1,6. $5 gets 25%


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