Monday, January 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Warragul

The Game Plan for Warragul – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet

Major Calipso (Race 5 no. 9) $2.20
This guy is struggling to break through for a win but his recent form has been very good nevertheless and in a race with few winning chances I think his class will be the difference today. I’m also going to make him the focal point of multiples in one of the Money Races below.

The Money Races

Race 5
As mentioned above, I think Major Calipso (9) packs a few too many guns, particularly as he follows out a fast beginner (Luke Hobbs) from the second line to offset his seemingly awkward draw. The only conceivable dangers are Big Bang Penny (5) and Lombo Kotakinabalu (7) so package them up into a range of multiple options and I’m very confident you’ll get a result.

9/ 5,7/ 5,7. $50 gets 2500%.
9/ 5,7/ 2,4,8. $18 gets 300%.
5,7/ 9/ 5,7. $25 gets 1250%.
5,7/9/ 2,4,8. $7 gets 116.66%.

Race 7
This looks a classically peg-dominated event where Chanels Charm (2) (Leader), Lombo Ranmiles (Behind Leader) and Ashira Bromac (8) (Three Pegs) should dominate. Play around with that theory if you like but I’m going to attack in the below manner.

2/ 1,8/ 1,8. $40 gets 2000%.
2/1,8/ 9. $20 gets 1000%.
2/ 1,8/ 4,5. $20 gets 500%.
1/ 2/ 8. $10 gets 1000%.
1/2/ 9. $5 gets 500%.
1/ 2/ 4,5. $5 gets 250%.




Star Trialler

All About Art (Race 7 no. 4) $6
This guy is first-up for Andy Gath and indicated he is ready to run a big race today when defeating Blazeaway Macray at the Tabcorp Park trials on January 7. He reeled off a 58.4-second final half there and despite facing a tough field here, should acquit himself well.

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