Sunday, January 6, 2013

Good Form Preview - Horsham Cup Day

THE GAME PLAN for Horsham – with Michael Polster

Best Bet

Eljulio (Race 4 no. 10) $3.50
There was a lot to like about this bloke’s first up victory at Maryborough last Monday where he charged home from near last on the turn in fast fractions to win running away.  This is a harder assignment today but he will be better for that outing and will be extremely hard to hold out at the business end should he be lucky enough to gain a decent drag into the race.  

Best Trifectas

Race 2
Think Braeview Creation and Illawong Geraldine are the ones to beat here even though they draw awkwardly and I’m basing my trifectas around the pair with Viva Courage, Isabelle Delacour, Additallup, Mary Mon and Lively Princess the key place chances.  Below is how I’m playing with $100 total spend.

8,10/ 8,10/ 1,2,4,5,7,11.  $60 gets you 500%
8,10/ 2,4,5,7/ 8,9.  $40 gets you 500%

Race 3
Bobby Maravu has the extreme gate to overcome but he still looks the one to beat and I can’t see him missing the top two so I’m basing my trifectas around him with Modern McKenzie and Mcardle Lassie as the dangers.  Below is how I’m playing with $100 total spend.

7/ 1,5/ 1,3,4,5,6,8,9.  $60 gets you 500%
1,5/ 7/ 1,3,4,5,6,8,9.  $40 gets you 333.33%

Race 4
Keen on Eljulio to win or at worst run second so I’m basing my trifectas around him with Cheap Tint, Bettor Believe It, Ok To Fly and G K Galleon the key place chances or upsets.  Below is how I’m playing with $100 total spend.

10/ 6,7,8,9/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9.  $60 gets you 250%
6,7,8,9/ 10/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9.  $40 gets you 166.66%

Quaddies (x2) $100 Outlay
6,7,8,9,10/ 2,5,6,10,11,12/ 2,4,5,7,9/ 9.  $50 gets you 33.33%
6,7,8,9,10/ 2,5,6,10,11,12/ 2,4,5,7,9/ 2,3,4,7.  $50 gets you 8.33%

 
STAR TRIALLER

Baby Bling (Race 7 no. 4) $11 TAB Fixed Odds
Top class mare having her first start for Dean Braun today and she looks ready to run a race going by her slashing trial victory at Ballarat last week where she ran fast time.  This is by far and away her biggest test to date but she has been tried at longer odds with the TAB and must be kept very safe. 

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