Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Swan Hill

The Game Plan for Swan Hill – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Tonight’s Swan Hill programme is both tricky and enticing all at the same time. There is some temptation to attack just a couple of races but I think if we spread the load it should make for an enjoyable, and profitable, night out on the punt.

Best Bets/All-Up ($50)
Turnoffate (7) & Bettor Move (8) – Race 1 Quinella
Two horse races are not that rare in the trots, but ones this definitive are. I really can’t see how these two pacers won’t draw away and fight this race out and given the fact that they’re both drawn awkwardly I’m hoping we can get better than $2 about the Quinella.

Thats Rite (Race 3 no. 7) $1.65
This bloke won the Tatlow stakes last season and while he can mix his form a little he has panels on these for class, as evidenced by the fact he’s a five-time winner in a CO only race.

Best Value ($15 x $10)
Bad Boy Hughie (Race 2 no. 5) $7.50
This bloke’s last couple have been very good and in a race with very mixed formlines I’d rather be on him Each Way than Presidentialsecret (7) one-out.

Cruzin Sprocket (Race 4 no. 6) $7
I’ve been following this bloke w/. an eagle eye of late and he is ready to win. Not only has he rattled home in two of his past three but with s stack of speed engaged inside him here he looks a great chance of swooping on tired rivals late.

Best Roughie ($5 x $20)
Saabrina Miss (Race 5 no. 1) $10
I’m expecting some cat-and-mouse tactics in this race and with Chris Alford aboard and the huge advantage given to inside horses over the 1609m trip at this course I think this girl’s worth a little 1x4 attack.

The Money Races
Race 3

As mentioned above, Thats Rite (7) looks over the line here and The Love Child (5) is a clear second pick.

7/ 5/ 6. $26 gets 2600%
7/ 5/ 1,4. $12 gets 600%
7/ 6/ 5. $12 gets 1200%

Race 6
This is a race of three big guns in Shez A Spy (1), Cool Machrista (4) and Dieing Secret (5). All things being equal they should fight out the finish although Oils Jay Bee (8) has talent and draws to be in the right spot if he’s good enough.

1,4,5/ 1,4,5,8/ 1,4,5,8. $36 gets 200%
1,4,5/ 1,4,5,8/ 2,3. $14 gets 77%

The Quads (x4)
2,3,4,6/ 2,3/ 1,4,5/ 1,2,9. $36 gets 50%
2,3,4,6/ 2,3/ 1,4,5/ 3,7,10. $14 gets 19.44%
2,3,4,6/ 1,4,5,6,7,10/ 1,4,5/ 1,2,9. $36 gets 16.67%
2,3,4,6/ 1,4,5,6,7,10/ 1,4,5/ 3,7,10. $14 gets 6.48%


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