Good Form Preview - Friday @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton – with Andrew Evans(@AndrewEvansHRV)
Best Bets ($75 Win)
(Race 2 No.9 Our Warwick Lad) $4.50
This guy produced an extremely tough effort to out stay his rivals in his heat of this final. He is drawn to get an ideal run through here behind quick beginner Who Broke Our Halo at the start and is the horse to beat.

(Race 3 No.3 Cowboy Cadillac) $2.50

This guy has been going as well as he ever has in recent times for the Ross Sugars stable. He should have enough speed to get across to the pegs first tonight then he can either take a sit behind one of his main dangers PINEVALE WILLPOWER (6) or shoot for an all the way win. From either spot he looks very hard to beat here.

(Race 8 No.3 Ifu Seek Flight) $2.75
This guy is drawn to find the lead tonight over the sprint trip and he should dictate terms and be hard to beat. The last three times he has been able to find the lead in his races he has been victorious and his main rival looks to have quite a job ahead of him from the outside of the second row.

Best Value ($15W/$35P)

(Race 1 No.7 Grins Rendition) $10
This bloke is racing in great form at the moment with two wins from here from his last three outings. I’m not sure how he will be driven tonight from his wide draw but with luck he is a definite winning hope and could be sent out well over the odds.

Money Race

(Race 5 $50 First Fours)
4/ 1,6,10/ 1,6,8,9,10/ 1,6,8,9,10 $30 gets 83.33%
1,6,10/ 4/ 1,6,8,9,10/ 1,6,8,9,10 $20 gets 55.56%

The Quaddies (x2)

1,3,4,6,10,11/ 1,4,6,10/ 2,5,7,8,10,11/ 7 $50 gets 34.72%
1,3,4,6,10,11/ 1,4,6,10/ 2,5,7,8,10,11/ 8,9 $50 gets 17.36%

The Game Plan for Melton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
We have a fairly tricky nine race program at HQ tonight but in saying that I’m convinced we can turn a profit on the meeting thanks to a best bet at terrific odds, a couple of best values and two money races followed by a split Quaddie to try and find some value for the punters. After snagging the Quaddie last night we have struck some #GoodForm so hopefully it can continue over the weekend.

Best Bet ($50 win)
Elegant Image (Race 5 No.9) $6 TAB Fixed Odds - Click here to bet on this horse now
If you put a line through his last run, this bloke would dead-set start odds on in tonight’s race. I wasn’t convinced about how well he was going when he strung together those three wins fresh from a break but coming of a little niggle he had totally won me over in his three seconds before his last start seventh. He has drawn the running line tonight and whether he finds the chair mid-race, or comes with one run, I expect him to return to his best tonight.

Best Value ($25 each way)
Steam Washed (Race 4 No.1) $8
First-up from a break I’d implore any punter to go back and watch the replay of this little mare because her run was out of this world. She was peppered in front when she had to work to find the front in a similar class race last time and if she can hold speedy beginner Illawong Kath (2) into the first bend, which I think she can, then she can either take a sit on likely favourite Beauty Secret (3) or simply use her toughness to lead them a merry dance.

Johnny Quid (Race 6 No.5) $6.50
We’ve singled out another one with some early toe but a whole heap of toughness and after three runs this time in he should be ready to show his best. He was a dual Vicbred Super Series heat winner last time in and he seems to be starting to realise some of the potential he has always shown. If he can keep rolling forward after the start to find a position in the first handful of runners, then although he is no moral, I think he can run a big race for us.

The Money Races
Race 3 ($50 flexi trifectas)
I love the look of this claimer because it isn’t the strongest claiming race we’ve seen in recent times but there are three horses who should be a class above their rivals tonight Cowboy Cadillac (3) will likely be first to the pegs but don’t be surprised if Pinevale Willpower (6) gets a flyer and crosses him almost immediately. From their I don’t expect there to be a lot of mid-race pressure however Thats Mister Ali (11) is almost certain to run into a placing so we will play our main boxed trifecta with a couple of savers in case a roughie lobs into the trifecta.

Boxed 3,6,11. $12 gets 200%
3,6,11/3,6,11/2,5,7,10. $13 gets 54.16%
3,6,11/2,5,7,10/3,6,11. $13 gets 54.16%
3,6,11/2,5,7,10/2,5,7,10 $12 gets 33.33%

Race 9 ($50 flexi first 4’s)
I’m really keen on this race mainly because I think that Hectorjayjay (2) could well be a standout three-year-old so we can get on board early and make some coin from him even if he does start a short-priced favourite. Presidentialsecret (4) will be the clear second pick and I would be shocked if he didn’t run into the first 4 somewhere so we will play wide for the other placings, because almost every other horse has a place chance.

2/4/3,5,6,7,8/3,5,6,7,8 $30 gets 150%
2/3,5,6,7,8/4/3,5,6,7,8 $15 gets 75%
2/3,5,6,7,8/3,5,6,7,8/4 $5 gets 25%

Quaddies (x2)
1,3,10/9,10/5,6,7,10/6,7,8. $72 gets 100%
4,5,6,8,11/9,10/5,6,7,10/6,7,8. $28 gets 23.33%