Monday, January 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Manic Monday @ Beckley Park

The Game Plan for Geelong - with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet ($50 Win)

Givemeaspell (Race 5 no.1) $2.50

Top flight trainer Andy Gath has a pretty big opinion of this fellow and after an outstanding performance when sitting parked last time out he'll only have to hold the early lead or re-take that role early in proceedings to prove a shade too good for this lot here today.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)

Action Royale (Race 3 no.1) $7

This mare has always been a total short course specialist and her last two runs have been a great indication that she's back to her very best form. I expect her to lead from the polemarking alley but even if she allows Lierre Nori to spear across her she should still either win or finish in the money.

Best Roughie ($10 x $40)

Ruben Hall (Race 8 no.5) $26

This is a very speculative bet but it may also be very rewarding. In short, I am relying upon the fact that the switch to team Sugars for this reasonably talented pacer could be the catalyst for sharp improvement here.

The Money Race - Race 3

The two key runners here, both from a talent and speedmap perspective, are Action Royale (1) and Lierre Noir (3). They'll either be leader/behind leader or both in the first four and from there I expect they'll both figure on the dais. All Aussie Star is a clear third pick from the gate and there are only a couple of other runners who can figure in the money.

1,3/1,3/8. $40 gets 2000%
1,3/8/1,3. $10 gets 500%
1,3/1,3/4,9. $40 gets 1000%
1,4/4,9/1,3. $10 gets 250%

The Quads (x4)

5,7/1/5,9/5,6,10,12. $32 gets 200%
5,7/1/3,6,7,8/5,6,10,12. $32 gets 100%
1,3,6/1/5,9/5,6,10,12. $24 gets 100%
1,3,6/1/3,6,7,8/5,6,10,12. $12 gets $25%

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