Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Hamilton

The Game Plan for Hamilton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Today’s Hamilton may be jam-packed full of near-to-certain winners or it may be quite a bit trickier than it seems on paper. I’ve opted to avoid most potential pitfalls by trying to isolate a Best Bet @ Black Figure Odds, a Best Value that looks way over the odds, 1 Money Race and some Quads.

Best Bet ($50 Win)
Rogue Assassin (Race 9 no. 2) $2.50
This bloke beat a couple of handy ones two starts back then battled on bravely after doing all the work at Geelong last time out. He gets the ideal draw here and so long as he doesn’t get shuffled back in transit he should get the job done today.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
El Paco (Race 7 no. 3) $7
This guy has been absolutely low flying of late and should probably have won at Melton Friday night when never seeing daylight in the lane. I don’t think we’ll get $7 here but if we’re getting anything like it then you should get involved.

The Money Race ($50 Flexi First Fours)
Race 5
Flaming Flutter (8) looked like a machine winning first-up from a break and while this is a seriously good Tontine heat he’s a class above them I think. I also think that Gotta Go Yankee (1) has heaps of ability and should join the red hot favourite on the dais today.

8/ 1/ Field/ Field. $40 gets 200%
8/ Field/ 1/ Field. $10 gets 50%

The Quads (x4)
2,3,4,5/ 8/ 6/ 3. $20 gets 500%
2,3,4,5/ 8/ 6/ 6,8,10,11. $40 gets 250%
2,3,4,5/ 8/ 4,5,7,8,9/ 3. $50 gets 250%
2,3,4,5/ 8/ 4,5,7,8,9/ 6,8,10,11. $40 gets 50%

The Game Plan for Hamilton with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV)
Best Bets ($100 All Up Win)
(Race 1 No.5 Ardlussa Express)

This guy was well supported at his first run in Australia at Ballarat last start. He settled well back in transit then ran home pretty well in a race where they recorded very good time and his opposition was much stronger than what he meets today. I expect him to have taken benefit out of that first up run and be very hard to beat here.

(Race 5 No.8 Flaming Flutter)

This guys win first up at Ballarat where he sat parked outside the leader before reeling off a last half of 54.7 was ultra impressive. If he repeats that run here today he should be winning again.

Best Value ($35 Each Way)

(Race 8 No.9 Your Invited)

This guy finished a narrow second three runs back against similar opposition to what he meets here today. His two runs since then have been okay against better quality opposition. From the draw he should end up in a perfect spot trailing the speed today and should be the one finishing off strongest in the lane.

The Money Race

Race 6 ($50 Flexi First 4’s)

6/ 5,7,9/ 4,5,7,8,9/ 4,5,7,8,9 $32 gets 88.89%

5,7,9/ 6/ 4,5,7,8,9/ 4,5,7,8,9 $18 gets 50%

Quaddies (x4)

3/ 8/ 6/ 2,3,8,9,10,11 $30 gets 500%

3/ 8/ 5,7,9/ 2,3,8,9,10,11 $30 gets 166.67%

2,4,5/ 8/ 6/ 2,3,8,9,10,11 $20 gets 111.11%

2,4,5/ 8/ 5,7,9/ 2,3,8,9,10,11 $20 gets 37.04%

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