Saturday, January 18, 2014

Good Form Preview - Shepparton Gold Cup Card

The Game Plan for Shep Cup Night - with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

As awesome as the racing is @ Quest Racing Complex tonight, the real key for us will be to avoid temptation and target only the races we can make a killing from. There are likely to be at least four Red Figure favourites on the programme but I am only truly bullish about two of them so I'll be targetting both those blokes in a little All-Up and 2 of my 3 Money Races while we'll also have a good dip at the Quads as per usual.

Best Bets/All-Up ($100)

The Court Jester (Race 2 no. 5) $1.80

This guy was a dominant winner in his heat of this series and should get things even easier tonight given he'll work to the lead pretty early on. He is only three so he's not over the line but with ordinary luck I think he'll prove a shade too good.

My High Expectations (Race 5 no. 6) $1.40

One can only marvel @ the fact that this guy opened at $1.60 w/ TAB given he's an absolute dead-set, put-your-bet-on-and-stay-in-the-queue moral. It's dangerous for form experts to declare any horse, anywhere but the circumstances here, which will almost certainly see this guy leading within 150m of the start, should ensure only an act of God will see him go down tonight.

The Money Races

Race 2

We're putting a fair deal of weight on The Court Jester (5) but I think he can handle it & if he wins there are just three key hopes to fill the other placings.

5/ 6,12,13/ 6,12,13/ 3,6,12,13. $24 gets 200%
5/ 6,12,13/ 6,12,13/ 1,4,7,8. $26 gets 108.33%

Race 5

As mentioned above, I couldn't be more sure that My High Expectations (6) will win this race and with stablemate Cold Sister (3) likely to lob right in behind him I'm almost as sure that she will also figure on the podium.

6/ 3/ 9. $30 gets 3000%
6/ 3/ 5,8. $30 gets 1500%
6/ 9/ 3. $20 gets 2000%
6/ 5,8/ 3. $20 gets 1000%

Race 10

I'm not quite as bullish that Maori Time (2) will roll home here purely because she's a trotter resuming from a break, but really, she should be much, much too good here with only a couple of others likely to join her on the dais.

2/ 1/ 7. $20 gets 2000%
2/ 1/ 3,5,6. $15 gets
2/ 7/ 1. $15 gets 1500%

The Quads (x6)

6,10/ 6/ 3/ 6,7,10. $43 gets 716.67%
6,10/ 6/ 7/ 6,7,10. $12 gets 200%
6,10/ 6/ 1,4/ 6,7,10. $12 gets 100%
6,10/ 6/ 3/ 4,8,9. $21 gets 350%
6,10/ 6/ 7/ 4,8,9. $6 gets 100%
6,10/ 6/ 1,4/ 4,8,9. $6 gets 50%

Speed Maps











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