Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Good Form Preview - Geelong Tuesday


THE GAME PLAN for Geelong – with Michael Polster
                         
Best Bet              

Laughing Holme (Race 2 no. 4)
This guy has been very good at his past two behind quality types Dual Agent Tabman and Fanagalo in standing start races and looks ideally suited tonight against this class of horse.
He will more than likely have to park out but with a slow tempo expected he will get his chance to get back into the winners list.

The Money Race

Race 7   

This looks a match race between the Geoff Webster-trained duo of Charlie Machsheen and Kotare Roland with not a split inch between these two talented 4YO’s. They are a big chance of being leader/behind leader and it looks a great race to smash some exotics.  Here’s how I’m playing with $100 total spend.

Flexi Trifecta 2,4/ 2,4/ 1,3,5,6,8,10 for $52 which gets you 433.33%

Flexi First Four 2,4/ 2,4/ 1,3,5,6,8,10/ Field for $48 which gets you 50%.  

Quaddie
4,9,11/ 3,5,6,10,11/ 1,3,6,10,11/ 2,4.  $100 gets you 66.66%


BLACK BOOKER – (Racing Tonight)

Kotare Roland
Geoff Webster’s Kiwi import impressed in pretty strong company at Melton on his Aussie debut then drilled handy 4YO Cyrus from the breeze at this track last time out. He takes in gun stablemate Charlie Machsheen here but looks to have plenty of talent and may be the value option in a very strong sort of race. Click here to view his most recent run.

STAR TRIALLERS – (Racing Tonight)

Desert Safari (Race 3 no. 3)
Charlie Farrugia-prepared son of Bettors Delight who is unbeaten at the trials with his latest victory at Kilmore by 25m a sure sign this guy has plenty of talent. He takes on Dean Braun’s smart first up winner Major Steppe but he does draw to advantage on debut and is in with a shot at causing a boil over.

Gurkha (Race 4 no. 9)
This bloke resumes from a short break for new trainer Merv Williamson and wasn’t knocked around in a recent Melton trial to prepare him for this assignment. He doesn’t strike a strong race first up, will get a nice run through from his second row draw and has an excellent chance of scoring fresh.

DID YOU KNOW?

Did you know that the average price for winners in Victoria this season is $7.12? Eerily, this is EXACTLY the same average starting price recorded for Victorian winners throughout last season. Crazy coincidence or proof that there’s value in the trots if you take the time to find it...

It seems there’s even more value at Victoria’s metropolitan home, Melton’s Tabcorp Park, where the average winning price so far this term is $9.21 compared with $8.03 last season.




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