Monday, October 29, 2012

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Horsham

THE GAME PLAN for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington

Best Running Double/ All Up
Sotiris (Race 2 no. 6) & Off The Chain (Race 3 no. 7)
Everything points to it being a big day for Redan all rounder Mick Stanley with these two talented pacers. Sotiris was first up from a spell last start when not disgraced behind potential start Macha.  He beat the others pretty easily & should appreciate the drop in grade today while Off The Chain has always had ability and should take care of his bottom up CO with any luck at all. Based on their Herald Sun prices the pair will pay $5 for every $1 invested but they can also be taken as a straight out Running Double.

Best Value
Endorsement (Race 4 no. 9)
This guy is no star but he has knuckled down really well when asked late in his past couple of races and quite simply brings better form than any other runner into the race. He was marked @ $4 in today’s Herald Sun and is definitely worth a wager at anything like those odds.

Best Roughies
Majeur Le Crest & Whosgunnagetit (Race 6 no’s. 6 & 9)
Both these pacers have been marked at $13 in today’s Herald Sun and both represent some chance of knocking off The Adriatic and co in Race 6 today. I advise backing each of these pacers on a 1 x 3 basis if their double figure odds hold up with the TAB.
Macy Lila (Race 7 no. 3)
A lot will depend upon the start as she does have two quick beginners drawn inside her but if this mare can find the front without spending too much petrol today she is another fantastic 1 x 3 option at double figure odds.

The Money Race - Trifectas
Race 3
7/ 5,11/ 2,4,5,6,11,12. $50 gets 500%.
7/ 2,4,6,12/ 2,4,5,6,11,12. $50 gets 250%.
Quads x 2
9/ 1,2,4,6,11/ 1,5,6,7,8/ 1,3,6,8. $50 gets 50%.
1,5/ 2,4,6,11/ 1,5,6,7,8/ 1,3,6,8. $50 gets 25%.


Black Booker (Racing Tonight)

Sotiris (Race 2 no. 6)
Ran a super race first up from a break where he ran the gate, ended up without cover for the last 800m and held on extremely well for second to the impressive Macha in a blistering last quarter of 27.1. He showed plenty of talent last season & will derive benefit from last night’s outing and is sure to win his share of races this campaign. Click here to view the run.

Black Bookers (Kilmore Cup Day)

Kasyanov
This one-time Inter Dominion placegetter essentially cost himself around 25m by breaking gait soon after the start in the Kilmore Trotters Cup and was only beaten by that margin at the end of the marathon feature. Not only that but he was left three wide and exposed for much of the final circuit in a run that had to be seen to be believed. Click here to view the run.

Composed
This guy has now run cracking races in each of Victoria’s first two Choice Hotels Country Cups this term. Luckless and brilliant in fast closing numbers at Swan Hill two starts back, he was interfered with by a galloping Saint Flash when just about to make his run at Kilmore yesterday. His official losing margin was 18.6m but he would have finished much closer than that if everything had gone to plan. Click here to view the run.

Star Trialler (Racing Tonight)

Chief Destroyer (Race 2 no. 3)
This bloke is a pretty well bred son of It Is I who has impressed in three Maryborough trials, the latest of which saw him finish less than a metre from talented performers Amadmancomesundone and Metro Mike in a last half of 57.9 seconds. He faces a strong field on debut but may be worth an each way nibble from his favourable front line draw.

Did You Know?
Did you know that if you had followed the Good Form blog on Saturday night at Shepparton you’d have walked away very happy indeed? 
Let’s start with The Game Plan. Michael Polster suggested three Best Bets for the Shepparton programme, One More Smile ($2.20), Easy Lightning ($1.70) & Bon Jovi ($2.50). Represented as an All Up those pacers would have snared you $9.35 for every $1 invested!
Polster also recorded a handy profit with his suggested Trifectas and his suggested Quads.
Add to that the fact that two of Shepparton’s three Black Bookers in Bon Jovi and Apollos Gift also won along with the night’s only Star Trialler Forest Babe at $6.60 and it was a red letter night for Good Form followers. Kilmore Cup Day’s only Black Booker Mister Grizzly also saluted yesterday at the juicy odds of $12!
Jason Bonnington was also in form via Twitter on Saturday night declaring just two runners; Bon Jovi ($2.50) and Apollos Gift ($2.40) both of whom won with a leg in the air. Amazingly that running double paid $8.10 for every $1 invested.




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