THE GAME PLAN for Cobram – with Jason Bonnington
Best Bet
Bettor Warrior (Race 6 no. 4)
This guy is no star but he is versatile and genuine so
whether he pushes forward early or restrains to lob a midfield role expect him
to break though at around flip of the coin odds.
Best Value
Apollos Gift (Race 1 no. 9)
This fellow is pretty talented and really should have gone
close to winning at Tabcorp Park last start when charging home from the rear
but galloping in the lane. He is back to the stand here but has won three of
five from the strands and is worth a wager around the $3 mark.
Splendid Choice (Race 4 no. 6)
His figure formline looks very ordinary but he is a brutal
sort of pacer who I can see really appreciating a little drop in grade where he
can bully his rivals into submission today. He faces a couple of handy ones
here but may well be a shade too strong.
The Money Race – Race 2
Only two scenarios here; either Lombo Hot Gun (1) holds them
all wide early with One More Smile (8) right on his back or Lombo Hot Gun (1)
gets crossed at the start & the race becomes much tougher. I advise relying
on the former (more likely) scenario & smashing exotics like this.
Quinella
Lombo Hot Gun (1) & One More Smile (8) for
plenty.
Trifectas
1,8/ 1,8/ 5,6,7,10 - $40 gets 500%
1,8/ 5,6,7,10/ 1,8 - $20 gets 250%
Quaddies
1,2,6/ 1,3,7,9/ 4/ 4 - $40 gets 333.33%
1,2,6/ 1,3,7,9/ 4/ 1,6,7,8,9 - $30 gets 50%
1,2,6/ 1,3,7,9/ 1,3,5,6,7/ 4 - $30 gets 50%
Black Bookers – (Racing Tonight)
On Fire Within (Race 2 no. 6)
This bloke trialled impressively at Shepparton a couple of
weeks back then turned in an eye-catching performance at that same track last
time out when a mile off them on turning but still good enough to charge home
into fourth. He has drawn poorly over the sprint trip today but is going well
and may be worth an each way ticket at good odds. Click here to view the run.
Hezfullarunning (Race 5 no. 9)
He had his hoof on the till for some time prior to breaking
through at Bendigo last start when bullying his way to the front and leading
his rivals a merry dance. The second line draw won’t concern him here as he
doesn’t have much gate speed anyway so look for another big performance form
the John Newberry-trained 5YO. Click here to view the run.
Black Bookers – (Cranbourne Sunday Twilight)
Hereux Homme
It certainly wasn’t the strongest race you’ll ever see but
this bloke absolutely grew wings late on a day where backmarkers and those
making wide runs were not suited at all. He was first up too and should go
close in a similarly weak affair wherever he lines up next. Click here to view the run.
Star Trialler – (Racing Tonight)
Rainbow Jay Jay
This guy has any amount of ability and has been trialling
nicely both at Bendigo and Shepparton before throwing his chances away by
breaking gait whenever he gets to the races. Punters will be tiring of the
Jekyll and Hyde act but he may be worth one more chance on an each way basis in
the opening event today. Click here to view
his most recent trial.
Programme In Review
Yet another tricky night @ the office yesterday @ Cranbourne
but HRV form analyst Michael Polster came home strong, boxing Trifectas of $101
and $232.40 with his top four selections in races seven & eight
respectively.
Lone Black Booker Mossdale Allan provided Good Form
followers with a cracking start to their night, paying $7.30 and never looking
like getting beaten in the opening event after being isolated by the Good Form
boys as a horse to follow.
Interestingly, every winner at Cranbourne either led or
utilised the sprint lane for success. This is a great lesson for young players
about the importance of mapping speed and positions in restricted and lower
grade races!
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