Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Cranbourne

The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Bets/All-Up ($75)
Glenferrie Typhoon (Race 2 no. 2) $1.70
This bloke, who enjoyed plenty of success in his 3YO term last season has been in terrific form this campaign, with a close-up, death-seat second to Unico Crown in a heat of the Tontine Series followed by a brave third in the final of that series behind Unico Crown and Quite A Moment. He is thrown in off the front here and if he begins like he can he should lead and win tonight.

Hectorjayjay (Race 4 no. 2) $1.40
This guy produced one of the most visually extraordinary victories of recent times last start when spotting the leader 30m when making his run and still getting the job done at Kilmore. He’ll almost certainly lead here and should prove panels too classy for some handy but not outstanding rivals.

Bets Value ($30 Win)
Outer Join (Race 3 no. 2) $4
This bloke is yet to break through but he’s not far away from a win and given he’ll likely lead these around, tonight really does look his night.

Asoka (Race 7 no. 10) $6
I think this guy is extremely underrated. I was on him last start when he bullied the in-form Easton All Action into submission at Bendigo and with a heap of speed off the front line tonight I think he can bide his time before whipping around them and playing enforcer once more here tonight.

Best Roughies ($20 Place)
Fiftyshadesofbrown (Race 2 no. 1) $17
I don’t give this mare much of a winning hope but if she’s a big price the drum, she may be worth a straight out place bet given the likelihood she will get a cushy run in behind Glenferrie Typhoon (2) tonight.

Ionajag (Race 3 no. 1) $17
This is a very speculative wager but once again I think that in a moderate sort of race, if he gets the gun run in behind Outer Join (2) then he won’t have to go much better than when close up in a strong Cranbourne trial late last month to at least fill a hole.

The Quads (x4 for $125)
2,3,4,5,6,7/ 4,6/ 3,4,10/ 2,6. $54 gets 75%
2,3,4,5,6,7/ 4,6/ 1,2,5,9/ 2,6. $24 gets 25%
2,3,4,5,6,7/ 1,7,8,10/ 3,4,10/ 2,6. $36 gets 25%
2,3,4,5,6,7/ 1,7,8,10/ 1,2,5,9/ 2,6. $11 gets 5.73%

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