Monday, March 17, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Ballarat

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s rare to be racing at Ballarat on a Monday afternoon, but in many ways it’s a pleasant surprise with some pretty handy horses going a around in some very competitive events. It will not be a really easy day for punters but if we play smart with just a couple of short priced Best Bets, plus 1 Best Value, 1 Money Race and some Quads hopefully we can kick this week off on the right note today!

Best Bets/ All-Up ($50)
Asdenro (Race 2 no. 4) $1.60
This bloke was a handy enough juvenile but he’s really come on in leaps and bounds as a 3YO and in this relatively moderate race he should lead and win today.

Bettors Package (Race 9 no. 11) $1.70
The outside second line draw is some imposition for this filly but she is blessed with plenty of bottom and a real will to win. I expect Gavin will make a pretty early move here and all things being equal she’ll prove a class above.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Manningham Park (Race 8 no. 2) $5
I’m not sure we’ll get $5 about this guy but if we do I will be jumping on. Simply put, he can mix his form but almost always races best when let loose to run over the sprint journey. Expect him to fly the arm here race well clear of his rivals. There are a couple who can hunt him down from there but they’ll want to bring their A-Game to do so.

The Money Race – Race 2 ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
As mentioned above, I believe Asdenro (4) has this lot on toast while Im Notta Trotter (1) is a clear second pick. If both horses stay in gait throughout I’m near certain they’ll run one-two or one-three at very worst and I’m playing skinny with the others who can join them on the dais.

4/ 1/ 5,9. $25 gets 1250%
4/ 1/ 3,6. $10 gets 500%
4/ 5,9/ 1. $10 gets 250%
4/ 3,6/ 1. $5 gets 250%

The Quads (x4 for $150)
3/ 1,8,12/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 2,3,6. $54 gets 100%
1,2,4,8/ 1,8,12/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 2,3,6. $72 gets 33.33%
3/ 2,7/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 2,3,6. $9 gets 25%
1,2,4,8/ 2,7/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 2,3,6. $15 gets 10.42%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.