Thursday, March 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Kilmore

The Game Plan for Kilmore – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
After a very lean start to the year I’m hoping – and expecting – we’ve righted the ship in recent weeks with a few big wins and our profit tally of around $1200 since Saturday afternoon is a good sign that things are heading in the right direction. Much of our recent success has been built around the Quads and I’m hoping that an aggressive approach on that bet type will deliver us some joy. In fact, the whole Game Plan is aggressive today so it will be feast or famine and I’m hoping it’s the former!

Best Bets/All-Up ($85)
Berisari (Race 1 no. 7) $1.60
I’m not sure this bloke is any sort of superstar but he does have ability – and weapons – and if he rolls forward early to lead or breeze I think he’s got the measure of his rivals here tonight.

Whereibylong (Race 2 no. 7) $1.10
Nothing really needs to be said here. She’s one of the country’s better 3YO fillies and she’ll win this race with ease.

Unico Crown (Race 6 no. 7) $2.20
If you put a line through this bloke’s last start failure when making a mistake in the Boort Trotters Cup then he’s a $1.40 chance in this. He could be targeting feature Country Cups but he’s arrived here instead and should be rewarded with a pretty easy win.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Uroc Mman (Race 7 no. 8) $9
I have to declare my love for this guy. I don’t know why but he’s just my type of horse and after a very fruitful prep so far (which should see him undefeated) he should get another good crack at success in this. Put simply, we’ll be desperate for The Major League (1) to lead so we get the gun run in behind the speed because if that trip is ours we should go very close.

The Money Race – Race 7
This is an extremely speculative bet because we will almost certainly need the scenario outlined above, where The Major League (1) leads and Uroc Mman (8) trails to assure us of a result. If things go to plan this should be a fruitful bet, but if not we’ll need plenty of luck to get one of our Tricks to lob.

1,8/ 1,8/ 3,4,7. $30 gets 500%
1,8/ 1,8/ 5,9,11,12. $16 gets 200%
1,8/ 3,4,7/ 1,8. $15 gets 250%
1,8/ 5,9,11,12/ 1,8. $8 gets 100%
3,4,7/ 1,8/ 1,8. $6 gets 100%

The Quads (x4 for $90)
7/ 7/ 1,8/ 1,8,9,10,11,12. $30 gets 250%
7/ 7/ 3,4,7/ 1,8,9,10,11,12. $18 gets 100%
1,6,8,9/ 7/ 1,8/ 1,8,9,10,11,12. $24 gets 50%
1,6,8,9/ 7/ 3,4,7/ 1,8,9,10,11,12. $18 gets 25%

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