Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
After a couple of very moderate meetings to kick off the week we’ve found ourselves a card we can really sink our teeth into here. That’s because the quality of horseflesh is higher, making them far more trustworthy and infinitely more attractive on which to take a punt.

The Morals/ All-Up ($50)
The Court Jester (Race 2 no. 2) $1.35
This guy helped pull off an enormous plunge on debut then got the job done, but in less impressive fashion last time out. He’ll have a little fight on his hand if Heathbern Star (3) spears across him at the start but even then he should prove a shade too good.

Vics Cheval (Race 3 no. 7) $1.70
Put simply, this mare is in a different world to her rivals and if she stays in gait throughout she will win for sure.

Next Best Bets ($25 Win)
Mister Desirable (Race 1 no. 6) $3.75
I always like horses that are new to Claiming grade taking on horses who’ve been plying their trade at that level for a while and this guy looks a sensational example of that type of horse. Critically, he also gets to arrive here with the equal-second-biggest price tag on his head but still draws to advantage as he should spear to the lead from his gate six draw and lead this lot a merry dance tonight.

Blissfull Hart (Race 5 no. 1) $5.50
This is a pretty strong race but the fact remains that the above pacer has excellent gate speed, should lead and also has the bottom to run along a bit and keep going late over the sprint trip here tonight.

The Money Races (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
Race 1
I’ve got a lot of faith that Mister Desirable (6) can lead and win here and I ‘m banking on the fact that consistent campaigner Johnny Tee (4) is his only danger and will join him on the dais tonight.

6/ 4/ 1,2,3,7. $26 gets 650%
6/ 1,2,3,7/ 4. $12 gets 300%
4/ 6/ 1,2,3,7. $12 gets 300%

Race 2
As mentioned above, I think that The Court Jester (2) is close to a good thing and that Heathbern Star (3) will join him on the podium. Rowan Delight (5) is a clear third pick but Moment With Sue (1) is also worthy of consideration if purely for the draw.

2/ 3/ 5. $20 gets 2000%
2/ 3/ 1. $15 gets 1500%
2/ 5/ 3. $10 gets 1000%
2/ 1/ 3. $5 gets 500%

The Quads (x4)
1,3,4,5,7,10,11/ 1,4/ 3,13/ 1,11. $28 gets 50%
1,3,4,5,7,10,11/ 2,5,6,7,8/ 3,13/ 1,11. $28 gets 20%
1,3,4,5,7,10,11/ 1,4/ 3,13/ 3,5,7,9. $22 gets 19.64%
1,3,4,5,7,10,11/ 1,4/ 7,9,10,11/ 1,11. $22 gets 19.64%

 
The Game Plan for Bendigo with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).
Money Races
Race 1 Flexi Trifectas $50
3,4/ 3,4/ 1,6 $30 gets 750%
3,4/ 1,6/ 3,4 $20 gets 500%
Race 3 Flexi Trifectas $60
7/ 3/ 1,2,4 $30 gets 1000%
7/ 1,2,4/ 3 $15 gets 500%
3/ 7/ 1,2,4 $15 gets 500%
Race 7 Flexi First 4’s ($75)
11/ 1,3/ 1,3,5,7,9/ 1,3,5,7,9 $30 gets 125%
1,3/ 11/ 1,3,5,7,9/ 1,3,5,7,9 $30 gets 125%
1,3/ 1,3,5,7,9/ 11/ 1,3,5,7,9 $15 gets 62.50%
Quads (x3)
3,5,11/ 1,2,6,9/ 13/ 1,3,11 $35 gets 97.22%
3,5,11/ 1,2,6,9/ 3,7,10/ 1,3,11 $50 gets 46.30%
4,7,10/ 1,2,6,9/ 13/ 1,3,11 $15 gets 41.67%

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