Sunday, December 29, 2013

Good Form Preview - Sunday @ Cranbourne




The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Tonight’s program at Cranbourne looks tricky in some respects with a couple of near certainties in others so we will have to be careful how we play it from a punting perspective but I’m still confident we can turn a profit if we stick to the bets outlined below.

Best Bets/ All Up ($50)
Gowan Brae (Race 2 No.6) $1.30
We will be throwing in this guy as a bit of bank interest on out main best bet for the day in the very next race but basically Gowan Brae (6) should be far too good tonight, he is coming of a sixth in the Group 3 Sires Classic as he drops into this C0 race so expect him to bully his way forward at the start and be near-impossible to beat if all things are equal.

Art De Triomphe (Race 3 No.5) $2
I’ve always had a bit of a soft spot for this Danny Thackeray-trained mare and tonight I think she has found the right race to break her maiden status after 18 starts. Awesome Mattjesty (1) looks the only conceivable danger but this girl should be too strong for him regardless of how the race plays out.

Best Value ($25 each way)
Kings Jasper (Race 6 No.1) $3
I simply loved the way this fella hit the line when first up at the same track last time out and from a draw where he can secure a similar pegline run, in a race which is no harder, I think he is a huge show of knocking them off when the gaps appear in the straight.

Quaddie (x2)
2,4/3,6/1/1,7. $24 gets 300%
1,2,3,4/3,5,6,10/1,9,11/1,7,10. $76 gets 52.78%

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